Eero Vasa vs Nicholas David Ionel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
02/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
63%75%
1st serve points won
71% (22/31)75% (30/40)
2nd serve points won
39% (7/18)69% (9/13)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)100% (3/3)
1st return points won
28% (11/40)32% (10/31)
2nd return points won
31% (4/13)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)75% (3/4)
Winners
174
Unforced errors
3812
Net points won
100% (2/2)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
59% (29/49)74% (39/53)
Return Points Won
26% (14/53)41% (20/49)
Total Points Won
42% (43/102)58% (59/102)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Eero Vasa
50.2%
Nicholas David Ionel
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eero Vasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eero Vasa's form might have worsened.
  • Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicholas David Ionel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eero Vasa than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eero Vasa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicholas David Ionel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Eero Vasa - Nicholas David Ionel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.42)

    1.92
    (2.62)
    4.6%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Eero Vasa - Nicholas David Ionel?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ionel will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ionel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vasa is ranked ATP: 480. Ionel is ranked ATP: 611.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Vasa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Vasa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Eero Vasa
    Latest results of Nicholas David Ionel
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0