Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Albanian Cup Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Dinamo Tirana
Result
2:3 penalties
01/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Albanian Cup - Final

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Itodo P. ,
  • 19', Meksi J. 🟨,
  • 41', Itodo P. 🟨,
  • 42', Aleksi A. 🟨,
  • 45', Nani T. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Guindo S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Gassama K. , Dita B. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Itodo P. ,
  • 68', Dita B. 🟨,
  • 71', Nani T. , Rufati A. ,
  • 71', Qefalija K. , Goudiaby B. ,
  • 72', Lushkja R. , Yahaya M. ,
  • 76', Ujka S. 🟨,
  • 79', Guindo S. , Bakayoko S. ,
  • 79', Fangaj A. , Kasa R. ,
  • 87', Vila L. , Maliqi B. ,
  • 89', Sota E. , Leo Melo ,
  • 89', Maliqi B. 🟨,
  • 89', Aliji N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Bakayoko S. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 106', Zejnullai A. 🟨,
  • 119', Itodo P. , Qardaku E. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Aliji N. (Pen),
  • 1, Aleksi A. (Pen),
  • 2, Qardaku E. (Pen),
  • 2, Bakayoko S. (Pen),
  • 3, Meksi J. (Pen),
  • 3, Ujka S. (Pen),
  • 4, Teqja A. (Pen),
  • 4, Zejnullai A. (Pen),
  • 5, Zabergja B. (Pen),
  • 5, Xhemajli A. (Pen),
  • 6, Dita B. (Pen),
  • 6, Yahaya M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Egnatia Rrogozhinë
35.4%
Draw
31.8%
Dinamo Tirana
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 27% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 27.6% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egnatia Rrogozhinë's performance.
  • Dinamo Tirana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Tirana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egnatia Rrogozhinë that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Tirana than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Tirana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Dinamo Tirana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (3.2)
    2.85
    (3.38)
    2.76
    (2.04)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Dinamo Tirana won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Egnatia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Tirana won 1 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:19 (average 0.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Dinamo Tirana won 1 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:11 (average 0.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Dinamo Tirana were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Dinamo Tirana 2:0
    21.12.2024 Dinamo Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2:1
    25.10.2024 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Dinamo Tirana 1:1
    18.08.2024 Dinamo Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:2
    08.05.2024 Dinamo Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:1
    Latest results of Dinamo Tirana
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/32-finals
    1TeutaBye
    3AF ElbasaniTurbina Cerrik4 : 0
    4Tomori BeratIliria Kruja1 : 2
    5VllazniaBye
    7FlamurtariDevolli15 : 1
    8Besa KavajeTerbuni4 : 3
    9Dinamo TiranaBye
    11ErzeniKucove1 : 0
    12KF ValbonaBeselidhja Lezha1 : 0
    13SkenderbeuBye
    15VoraGramshi6 : 1
    16LushnjaOriku0 : 1
    17KF TiranaBye
    19BylisAdriatiku5 : 1
    20LuziShkumbini Peqin5 : 0
    21EgnatiaBye
    23Korabi PeshkopiKoplik5 : 2
    24KastriotiButrinti Sarande3 : 1
    25LaciBye
    27KukesiAlbanet6 : 0
    28PogradeciAF Luftetari2 : 0
    29PartizaniBye
    31Apolonia FierKelcyra3 : 0
    32BurreliLibrazhd4 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1TeutaBye
    2AF ElbasaniIliria Kruja3 : 1
    3VllazniaBye
    4FlamurtariBesa Kavaje0 : 1
    5Dinamo TiranaBye
    6ErzeniKF Valbona2 : 1
    7SkenderbeuBye
    8VoraOriku3 : 1
    9KF TiranaBye
    10BylisLuzi3 : 1
    11EgnatiaBye
    12Korabi PeshkopiKastrioti1 : 4
    13LaciBye
    14KukesiPogradeci2 : 1
    15PartizaniBye
    16Apolonia FierBurreli3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1TeutaAF Elbasani0 : 2
    2VllazniaBesa Kavaje1 : 0
    3Dinamo TiranaErzeni6 : 1
    4SkenderbeuVora1 : 0
    5KF TiranaBylis1 : 2
    6EgnatiaKastrioti4 : 0
    7LaciKukesi3 : 1
    8PartizaniApolonia Fier2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1AF ElbasaniVllaznia3 : 4, 0 : 0
    2Dinamo TiranaSkenderbeu4 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BylisEgnatia2 : 2, 1 : 3
    4LaciPartizani1 : 2, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1VllazniaDinamo Tirana3 : 4, 0 : 0
    2EgnatiaPartizani2 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Dinamo TiranaEgnatia3 : 2