Egor Agafonov vs Lucas Marionneau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Royan Challenger Men Egor Agafonov - Lucas Marionneau
Result
1:2
15/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Royan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
73
Double Faults
81
1st Serve Percentage
66%56%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (40/55)73% (40/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)51% (22/43)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)79% (11/14)
1st Return Points Won
29% (16/55)27% (15/55)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (21/43)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
21% (3/14)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
64% (53/83)63% (62/98)
Return Points Won
37% (36/98)36% (30/83)
Total Points Won
49% (89/181)51% (92/181)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Egor Agafonov
55.5%
Lucas Marionneau
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Egor Agafonov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Lucas Marionneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Marionneau than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Egor Agafonov - Lucas Marionneau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.69)

    2.08
    (2.07)
    7.9%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Agafonov is ranked ATP: 474. Marionneau is ranked ATP: 947.
    • Recent form of Agafonov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marionneau has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Agafonov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Egor Agafonov
    Latest results of Lucas Marionneau
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Hemery C. (1)Stebe C. (PR)2 : 0
    2Boitan G. A.Couacaud E. (WC)1 : 2
    3Gombos N.Ivanovski K. (PR)0 : 2
    4Poullain L. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (5)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Brunold M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T. (WC)Paris T. (Q)1 : 2
    7Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Marti Pujolras A.2 : 1
    8Papamalamis T. (Q)Gakhov I. (7)0 : 2
    9Merida Aguilar D. (8)Dodig M.2 : 1
    10Alcala Gurri M. (Q)Bax F.1 : 2
    11Paire B. (WC)Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    12Feldbausch K. (NG)Tabur C. (3)2 : 0
    13Erhard M. (6)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    14Barranco Cosano J.Mikrut L.0 : 2
    15Gea A.Strombachs R.2 : 1
    16Sanchez Izquierdo N.Droguet T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Hemery C. (1)Couacaud E.0 : 2
    2Ivanovski K.Kuzmanov D. (5)1 : 2
    3Brunold M.Paris T.2 : 0
    4Santamarta Roig A.Gakhov I. (7)2 : 1
    5Merida Aguilar D. (8)Bax F.2 : 0
    6Gadamauri B.Feldbausch K.0 : 2
    7Erhard M. (6)Mikrut L.0 : 2
    8Gea A.Droguet T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Couacaud E.Kuzmanov D. (5)0 : 2
    2Brunold M.Santamarta Roig A.2 : 0
    3Merida Aguilar D. (8)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    4Mikrut L.Droguet T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (5)Brunold M.2 : 1
    2Merida Aguilar D. (8)Droguet T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Kuzmanov D. (5)Droguet T. (2)1 : 2