Egor Agafonov vs Tom Gentzsch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lyon Challenger Men Egor Agafonov - Tom Gentzsch
Result
0:2
08/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
70%57%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (28/40)71% (29/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (10/17)65% (20/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
29% (12/41)30% (12/40)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (11/31)41% (7/17)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
67% (37/55)68% (49/72)
Return Points Won
32% (23/72)33% (18/55)
Total Points Won
47% (60/127)53% (67/127)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Egor Agafonov
22.5%
Tom Gentzsch
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 71.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Egor Agafonov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egor Agafonov's form might have worsened.
  • Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tom Gentzsch's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egor Agafonov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tom Gentzsch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Egor Agafonov - Tom Gentzsch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (3.15)

    1.2
    (1.32)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Egor Agafonov - Tom Gentzsch?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Agafonov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gentzsch will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Agafonov is ranked ATP: 471. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 445.
    • In recent matches, Agafonov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gentzsch is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Agafonov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gentzsch is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Gentzsch will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Egor Agafonov
    Latest results of Tom Gentzsch
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Droguet T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (Alt)Martin Tiffon P. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Legout T. (Q)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    4Onclin G.Ficovich J. P. (5)2 : 0
    5Jacquet K. (4)Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    6Alvarez Varona N. (Q)Squire H.0 : 2
    7van Assche L.Vrbensky M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Blancaneaux G.Nagal S. (6)2 : 0
    9Trungelliti M. (8)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Dellavedova M. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    11Paris T. (WC)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    12Janvier M. (Q)Cazaux A. (3)0 : 2
    13Hemery C. (7)Tabur C. (WC)0 : 2
    14Geerts M.Gea A. (WC)0 : 2
    15Martineau M.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    16Hsu Y. H.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Barranco Cosano J.2 : 0
    2Poullain L.Onclin G.0 : 2
    3Merida Aguilar D.Squire H.2 : 1
    4van Assche L.Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M. (8)Gakhov I.2 : 1
    6Kuzmanov D.Cazaux A. (3)2 : 0
    7Tabur C.Gea A.2 : 1
    8Vallejo D.Hsu Y. H.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Onclin G.0 : 2
    2Merida Aguilar D.van Assche L.2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M. (8)Kuzmanov D.2 : 1
    4Tabur C.Hsu Y. H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Onclin G.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    2Trungelliti M. (8)Tabur C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Merida Aguilar D.Trungelliti M. (8)1 : 2