Result
1:2
25/08/2025 at 07:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (50/67) | 64% (43/67) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (12/31) | 63% (20/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 40% (2/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 25% (17/67) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 61% (19/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (62/98) | 64% (63/99) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (36/99) | 37% (36/98) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (98/197) | 50% (99/197) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 48% (15/31) |
Chances of winning
Egor Gerasimov
44.4% | Lucas Poullain
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-3%)
Egor Gerasimov - Lucas Poullain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.09) |
|
1.67 ↓
(1.68) |
7.6%
(7.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Gerasimov is ranked ATP: 558. Poullain is ranked ATP: 358.
- Gerasimov is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Poullain has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Poullain may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Egor Gerasimov won against Lucas Poullain?
Egor Gerasimov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lucas Poullain won against Egor Gerasimov?
Lucas Poullain has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Egor Gerasimov - Lucas Poullain were as follows:
Latest results of Egor Gerasimov
Latest results of Lucas Poullain
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Virtanen O. (1) | Stewart H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shelbayh A. (WC) | Rincon D. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Coulibaly E. (Alt) | Gengel M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tobon M. (JR) | Hemery C. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mayot H. (3) | Loffhagen G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Huesler M. (RET.) | Soriano Barrera A. (LL) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Parker S. (Q) | Echeverria J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Paul J. (Q) | Hassan B. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Masur D. (Q) | Purtseladze S. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Gombos N. | Barroso Campos A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Engel J. | Ivanov I. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Martineau M. (Alt) | Rodionov J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. (7) | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Butvilas E. | Geerts M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Cina F. | Hara Friend J. D. (CO) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Vacherot V. | Landaluce M. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Stewart H. | Rincon D. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Coulibaly E. | Tobon M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mayot H. (3) | Soriano Barrera A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Parker S. | Paul J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Masur D. | Barroso Campos A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Engel J. | Rodionov J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. (7) | Butvilas E. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hara Friend J. D. | Vacherot V. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rincon D. | Tobon M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mayot H. (3) | Parker S. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Masur D. | Rodionov J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Butvilas E. | Hara Friend J. D. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rincon D. | Mayot H. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Rodionov J. (4) | Butvilas E. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Rincon D. | Rodionov J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
