Egypt vs Jordan, FIFA Arab Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
09/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Arab Cup - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
egyptEgyptMBC Masr 2, MBC Masr
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
qatarQatarShoof
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.102.71
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
86% (434/506)79% (238/303)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
3.102.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.222.65
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
1210
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3419
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
128
Passes
86% (434/506)79% (238/303)
Long passes
53% (20/38)38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
73% (136/186)71% (46/65)
Crosses
35% (11/31)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.100.28
Throw-ins
2814
Fouls
812
Tackles
55% (11/20)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
1943
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
2.652.22
Goals prevented
-0.352.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Abu Hasheesh M. ,
  • 39', Mohamed G. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Shararh , Ersan A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Afsha , Hassan H. ,
  • 46', Mohamed G. , Elneny M. ,
  • 46', Abu Hasheesh M. , Abu Taha M. ,
  • 57', Zakaria Y. , Hany A. ,
  • 58', Obaid S. , Al Rosan S. ,
  • 59', El Eraki K. 🟨,
  • 63', Ersan A. , Al Mardi M. ,
  • 63', Al Hourani H. , Nasib A. ,
  • 68', Gaber M. , Saad M. ,
  • 71', Hajabi A. , Abu Dahab M. ,
  • 82', El Eraki K. , Sherif M. ,
  • 83', Shararh , Olwan A. ,
  • 84', Elneny M. 🟨,
  • 90', Marei Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 0 - 3, Olwan A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Egypt
55.7%
Draw
27.2%
Jordan
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 30% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 29.2% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egypt's performance.
  • Jordan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jordan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egypt than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egypt that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jordan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Egypt - Jordan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.19)
    3.39
    (3.1)
    5.38
    (3.36)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Egypt - Jordan?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Egypt will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Egypt: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Egypt will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jordan is Qualified for FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Egypt is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Egypt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Egypt
    02.12.2025 Egypt - Kuwait 1:1
    17.11.2025 Egypt - Cape Verde 1:1
    14.11.2025 Uzbekistan - Egypt 2:0
    12.10.2025 Egypt - Guinea Bissau 1:0
    Latest results of Jordan
    06.12.2025 Kuwait - Jordan 1:3
    18.11.2025 Jordan - Mali 0:0
    14.11.2025 Tunisia - Jordan 3:2
    14.10.2025 Albania - Jordan 4:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Palestine (A1)Saudi Arabia (B2)1 : 2
    2Jordan (C1)Iraq (D2)1 : 0
    3Morocco (B1)Syria (A2)1 : 0
    4Algeria (D1)United Arab Emirates (C2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Saudi Arabia (B2)Jordan (C1)0 : 1
    2Morocco (B1)United Arab Emirates (C2)3 : 0

    Final
    1Jordan (C1)Morocco (B1)2 : 3

    3rd place
    2Saudi Arabia (B2)United Arab Emirates (C2)0 : 0