Egypt vs Nigeria, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations
Result
0:1 penalties
17/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - 3rd place
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Tolo TV
africaAfricaAfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
angolaAngolaTPA 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
beninBeninBenin TV
brazilBrazilBand Play, BandSports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1, Max Sport 2
burkina-fasoBurkina-fasoRTB
cameroonCameroonCanal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Dash TV, Equinoxe, Media Sport Info
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaWin play, Win Sports
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI, RTI 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
egyptEgyptOn Time Sports 1
equatorial-guineaEquatorial-guineaTVGE Internacional
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
gabonGabonGroupe Gabon Televisions
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceERT Sports 2
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalySportitalia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
madagascarMadagascarMATV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maliMaliORTM
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports
moroccoMoroccoAl Aoula, Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
mozambiqueMozambiqueTVM 1, TV Miramar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaNTA Sports
norwayNorwayVG+
republic-of-the-congoRepublic-of-the-congoTele Congo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 2, SABC Plus
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
surinameSurinameQN Sports, SCCN
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ugandaUgandaUBC TV
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomChannel 4, E4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.470.23
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
14
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
24
Passes
86% (394/459)87% (341/392)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
0.470.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.440.68
Total shots
55
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
20
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
22
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free kicks
1615
Passes
86% (394/459)87% (341/392)
Long passes
55% (24/44)63% (26/41)
Passes in final third
72% (79/109)70% (76/109)
Crosses
11% (1/9)5% (1/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.21
Throw ins
1421
Fouls
1516
Tackles
64% (14/22)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
2417
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
0.680.44
Goals prevented
-0.320.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Onuachu P. 🟨,
  • 45', Simon M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Onuachu P. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
  • 60', Zizo ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
  • 61', Trezeguet ↓, Saber M. ↑,
  • 65', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Iwobi A. ↑,
  • 73', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Adel I. ↑,
  • 87', Ogbu I. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Chukwueze S. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ajayi S. ↓, Awaziem C. ↑,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Dele-Bashiru F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Salah M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Adams A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Marmoush O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Simon M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Rabia R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Iwobi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Saber M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Lookman A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Egypt
25.9%		Draw
30.4%		Nigeria
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 31.8% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 31.4% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egypt than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nigeria than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Egypt - Nigeria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.74 ↓
    (3.75)    		 3.13 ↑
    (3.02)    		 2.18 ↓
    (2.25)    		 4.6%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Egypt - Nigeria?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Egypt will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Nigeria will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nigeria: 25.5% – 74.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nigeria will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egypt won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Nigeria will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Egypt: Abdelmaguid H. (Yellow Cards) Hamdi M. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (Rest)
    • There will not play in Nigeria: Bassey C. (Yellow Cards) Dessers C. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Egypt: Marmoush O. (Rest)
    • There are questionable in Nigeria: Onyeka F. (Rest)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Egypt won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Egypt - Nigeria were as follows:
    16.12.2025 Egypt - Nigeria 2:1
    Latest results of Egypt
    14.01.2026 Senegal - Egypt 1:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Egypt - Ivory Coast 3:2 ✺
    05.01.2026 Egypt - Benin 3:1 ✺
    29.12.2025 Angola - Egypt 0:0 ✺
    26.12.2025 Egypt - South Africa 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nigeria
    14.01.2026 Nigeria - Morocco 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Algeria - Nigeria 0:2 ✺
    05.01.2026 Nigeria - Mozambique 4:0 ✺
    30.12.2025 Uganda - Nigeria 1:3 ✺
    27.12.2025 Nigeria - Tunisia 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    2027

    Final
    1DjiboutiSouth Sudan
    2ChadBurundi
    3SomaliaMauritius
    4SeychellesLesotho
    5EritreaEswatini
    6Sao Tome and PrincipeEthiopia
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