V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ehime – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Peace Stadium (Nagasaki).

J2 League - Round 13
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
27	5
Shots on target
4	2
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
81% (542/668)	72% (249/346)
Total shots
27	5
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
23	3
Corner Kicks
8	4
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
12	9
Passes
81% (542/668)	72% (249/346)
Fouls
7	10
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Matsumoto T. ⚽, Takahata K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Panya E. ↓, Duncan B. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Murakami Y. ⚽, Kubota R. (A),
65', Matsumoto T. ↓, Yamaguchi H. ↑,
70', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
70', Masuyama A. ↓, Sawada T. ↑,
71', Sato R. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
71', Murakami Y. ↓, Taguchi Y. ↑,
87', Abe T. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
87', Yoneda S. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
88', Soneda Y. ↓, Muto H. ↑,
88', Bak Keon-Woo ↓, Fukushima H. ↑,

Chances of winning

V-Varen Nagasaki
61.9%

Draw
21.6%

Ehime
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

19.7%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with V-Varen Nagasaki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	4.29 ↑ (4.2)	5.67 ↑ (5.35)	7.2% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Ehime will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 4.
V-Varen Nagasaki is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Ehime has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, V-Varen Nagasaki is a strong favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Ehime?

V-Varen Nagasaki has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ehime won against V-Varen Nagasaki?

Ehime has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime were as follows:

10.11.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime 5:2

20.03.2024 Ehime - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2

06.03.2024 Ehime - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:4

Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki

29.04.2025 Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki 2:2 ✺

25.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Iwaki 3:4 ✺

19.04.2025 Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagan Tosu 0:2 ✺

09.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Ehime

29.04.2025 Ehime - Fujieda MYFC 2:4 ✺

25.04.2025 Vegalta Sendai - Ehime 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Ehime 2:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Ehime - Ventforet Kofu 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Ehime 1:1 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	V-Varen Nagasaki	34	17	12	5	56:41	15	63
2	Mito	33	17	10	6	50:30	20	61
3	Chiba	33	17	7	9	44:31	13	58
4	Tokushima	33	16	9	8	38:20	18	57
5	Omiya Ardija	33	16	8	9	48:32	16	56
6	Sagan Tosu	33	16	8	9	42:35	7	56
7	Vegalta Sendai	33	14	13	6	40:30	10	55
8	Iwata	33	15	6	12	49:46	3	51
9	Imabari	34	12	13	9	41:36	5	49
10	Iwaki	33	12	10	11	50:41	9	46
11	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	33	14	4	15	41:55	-14	46
12	Kofu	34	11	10	13	36:39	-3	43
13	Montedio Yamagata	33	12	6	15	48:47	1	42
14	Blaublitz	33	10	8	15	40:50	-10	38
15	Fujieda MYFC	34	9	10	15	38:44	-6	37
16	Kumamoto	33	9	8	16	40:52	-12	35
17	Oita Trinita	33	7	14	12	24:36	-12	35
18	Toyama	33	6	9	18	25:45	-20	27
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	33	4	14	15	30:43	-13	26
20	Ehime	33	3	11	19	32:59	-27	20

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      Relegation ~ J3 League