Result
0:2
18/02/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 28
- Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Lugo
22% | Draw
30.8% | Eibar
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eibar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugo - Eibar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.24 ↑
(3.6) |
3.07 ↑
(2.8) |
2 ↓
(2.32) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lugo - Eibar?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Eibar will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 57.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (35.2%), has project points - 37, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Eibar has the most likely position - 5 (16.52%), has project points - 68, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
- This event has small quality 27, small importance 30, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Lugo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Eibar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Eibar is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Eibar?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Lugo?
Eibar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Eibar were as follows:
02.11.2022
Eibar
-
Lugo
1:0
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
