Result
0:2
18/02/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 28
- Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Lugo 22% | Draw 30.8% | Eibar 47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eibar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugo - Eibar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.24 ↑ (3.6) |
3.07 ↑ (2.8) |
2 ↓ (2.32) |
6.3% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lugo - Eibar?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Eibar will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 57.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (35.2%), has project points - 37, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Eibar has the most likely position - 5 (16.52%), has project points - 68, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
- This event has small quality 27, small importance 30, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Lugo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Eibar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Eibar is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Eibar?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eibar won against Lugo?
Eibar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Eibar were as follows:
02.11.2022
Eibar
-
Lugo
1:0
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 79:57 | 22 | 72 |
| 2 | Almeria | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 78:58 | 20 | 70 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 51:32 | 19 | 66 |
| 5 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 6 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 46:58 | -12 | 54 |
| 12 | Gijon | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 51:49 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 42 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Huesca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 39:59 | -20 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 42:64 | -22 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation