Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich
Result
0:3
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.71
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
81% (372/459)90% (632/706)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.151.52
Total shots
612
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
29
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
81% (372/459)90% (632/706)
Long passes
25% (13/51)59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
62% (50/81)79% (141/179)
Crosses
11% (1/9)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.09
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1111
Tackles
63% (12/19)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4033
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.520.15
Goals prevented
-1.48-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Diaz L. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 14', Goretzka L. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Kane H. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Goretzka L. , Pavlovic A. ,
  • 65', Uzun C. Y. , Knauff A. ,
  • 65', Larsson H. , Chaibi F. ,
  • 69', Diaz L. 🟨,
  • 71', Gnabry S. , Guerreiro R. ,
  • 78', Skhiri E. , Hojlund O. ,
  • 78', Bahoya J. , Gotze M. ,
  • 79', Burkardt J. 🟨,
  • 82', Burkardt J. , Wahi E. ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Diaz L. , Guerreiro R. (A),
  • 85', Kane H. , Jackson N. ,
  • 88', Boey S. , Bischof T. ,
  • 88', Diaz L. , Karl L. ,

Chances of winning


Eintracht Frankfurt
9.6%
Draw
14.9%
Bayern Munich
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 19% 63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 18.4% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eintracht Frankfurt's form might have worsened.
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.19
    (5.35)
    7.03
    (5.01)
    1.35
    (1.51)
    -2.5%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
  • What is the prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 6 - 10%). Bayern will win (votes: 46 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 66%87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 1.
    • Eintracht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bayern is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Eintracht: Kristensen R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury) Urbig J. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 28:55. (average 1.4:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.8:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt 4:0
    06.10.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich 3:3
    27.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1
    09.12.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich 5:1
    28.01.2023 Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    5FC Koln631211:9210
    6Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    7Stuttgart53027:619
    8Freiburg52129:907
    9St. Pauli62138:9-17
    10Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    11Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    12Union Berlin62138:13-57
    13Augsburg620411:13-26
    14Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    15Hamburger SV51222:8-65
    16Mainz51135:6-14
    17Heidenheim51044:10-63
    18B. Monchengladbach50235:12-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga