Result
0:3
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 6
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Ireland | NOW |
Italy | Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 3 |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.39 | 1.71 |
Ball Possession |
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40% | 60% |
Total shots |
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6 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Passes |
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81% (372/459) | 90% (632/706) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.39 | 1.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.15 | 1.52 |
Total shots |
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6 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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10 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 11 |
Passes |
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81% (372/459) | 90% (632/706) |
Long passes |
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25% (13/51) | 59% (26/44) |
Passes in final third |
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62% (50/81) | 79% (141/179) |
Crosses |
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11% (1/9) | 43% (3/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.26 | 1.09 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 21 |
Fouls |
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11 | 11 |
Tackles |
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63% (12/19) | 42% (5/12) |
Duels won |
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40 | 33 |
Clearances |
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17 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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13 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.52 | 0.15 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.48 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
- 14', Goretzka L. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
- 65', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
- 65', Larsson H. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
- 69', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 71', Gnabry S. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
- 78', Skhiri E. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
- 78', Bahoya J. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
- 79', Burkardt J. 🟨,
- 82', Burkardt J. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Diaz L. ⚽, Guerreiro R. (A),
- 85', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
- 88', Boey S. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
- 88', Diaz L. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Eintracht Frankfurt 9.6% | Draw 14.9% | Bayern Munich 75.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eintracht Frankfurt's form might have worsened.Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
11.19 ↑ (5.35) |
7.03 ↑ (5.01) |
1.35 ↓ (1.51) |
-2.5% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
60 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 6 - 10%). Bayern will win (votes: 46 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 66% – 87.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 1.
- Eintracht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bayern is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Eintracht: Kristensen R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Davies A.
(Knee Injury)
Ito H.
(Foot Injury)
Musiala J.
(Broken calfbone)
Stanisic J.
(Knee Injury)
Urbig J.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 28:55. (average 1.4:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Eintracht Frankfurt won against Bayern Munich?
Eintracht Frankfurt has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Eintracht Frankfurt?
Bayern Munich has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich were as follows:
23.02.2025
Bayern Munich
-
Eintracht Frankfurt
4:0
06.10.2024
Eintracht Frankfurt
-
Bayern Munich
3:3
27.04.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Eintracht Frankfurt
2:1
09.12.2023
Eintracht Frankfurt
-
Bayern Munich
5:1
28.01.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Eintracht Frankfurt
1:1
Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 22 | 18 |
2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
5 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
16 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga