Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/02/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
6	4
Double Faults
1	1
1st Serve Percentage
64%	65%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (45/77)	63% (41/65)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (23/44)	43% (15/35)
Break Points Saved
73% (11/15)	50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
37% (24/65)	42% (32/77)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (20/35)	48% (21/44)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)	27% (4/15)
Service Points Won
56% (68/121)	56% (56/100)
Return Points Won
44% (44/100)	44% (53/121)
Total Points Won
51% (112/221)	49% (109/221)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
2	0
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)	73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)	27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)	50% (15/30)

Chances of winning

Aryna Sabalenka
79.3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↑ (1.14)		4.53 ↓ (4.71)	6.3% (9%)

What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 30.4% – 86.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 26.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 3.
Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.
Sabalenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Sabalenka is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?

Aryna Sabalenka has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Aryna Sabalenka?

Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova were as follows:

31.08.2024 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aryna Sabalenka 1:2

10.07.2023 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2

Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka

25.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys 1:2 ✺

23.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa 2:0 ✺

21.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 2:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva 2:0 ✺

16.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Clara Tauson 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova

09.02.2025 Emma Raducanu - Ekaterina Alexandrova 0:2 ✺

04.02.2025 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ekaterina Alexandrova Canceled ✺

02.02.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Dayana Yastremska 2:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Karolina Muchova - Ekaterina Alexandrova 0:2 ✺

31.01.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Petra Martic 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Bye
2	Tjen J. (WC)	Haddad Maia B. (LL)	2 : 0
3	Kasatkina D.	Uchijima M. (Q)	2 : 1
4	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Mertens E. (16)	0 : 2
5	Noskova L. (9)	Joint M.	2 : 0
6	Siegemund L.	Gracheva V. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Sakkari M.	Sonmez Z. (WC)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
9	Anisimova A. (3)	Bye
10	Sierra S. (LL)	Pliskova Ka.	0 : 2
11	Eala A.	Valentova T. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Cristian J.	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 2
13	Navarro E. (12)	Maria T.	2 : 0
14	Kalinskaya A.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
15	Yastremska D.	Bucsa C.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
17	Alexandrova E. (8)	Bye
18	Zakharova A. (Q)	Ostapenko J.	1 : 2
19	Raducanu E. (RET.)	Osorio C. (Q)	1 : 1
20	Siniakova K.	Tauson C. (11)	2 : 0
21	Samsonova L. (13)	Frech M. (LL)	1 : 2
22	Li A.	Fernandez L.	2 : 0
23	Cocciaretto E. (LL)	Jacquemot E. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
25	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
26	Kartal S. (Q)	Linette M.	1 : 2
27	Stearns P. (WC)	Zvonareva V. (Q)	1 : 2
28	Bouzkova M.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
29	Shnaider D. (15)	Parks A. (Q)	1 : 2
30	Zheng Q.	Kenin S.	2 : 1
31	Wang Xin.	Arango E.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rybakina E. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Tjen J.	2 : 0
2	Kasatkina D.	Mertens E. (16)	2 : 0
3	Noskova L. (9)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
4	Sakkari M.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
5	Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)	Pliskova Ka.	1 : 1
6	Valentova T.	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 2
7	Navarro E. (12)	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
8	Yastremska D.	Svitolina E. (7)	0 : 2
9	Alexandrova E. (8)	Ostapenko J.	0 : 2
10	Osorio C.	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
11	Frech M.	Li A.	0 : 2
12	Cocciaretto E.	Gauff C. (4)	2 : 0
13	Andreeva M. (5)	Linette M.	2 : 0
14	Zvonareva V.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
15	Parks A.	Zheng Q.	1 : 2
16	Wang Xin.	Rybakina E. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Kasatkina D.	2 : 1
2	Gracheva V.	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
3	Pliskova Ka. (RET.)	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 0
4	Kalinskaya A.	Svitolina E. (7)	2 : 0
5	Ostapenko J.	Osorio C.	2 : 0
6	Li A.	Cocciaretto E.	1 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (5)	Mboko V. (10)	1 : 2
8	Zheng Q.	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
2	Muchova K. (14)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
3	Ostapenko J.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
4	Mboko V. (10)	Rybakina E. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Sakkari M.	Muchova K. (14)	1 : 2
2	Ostapenko J.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2

Final

1

Muchova K. (14)

Mboko V. (10)

2 : 0