Elise Mertens vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Hertogenbosch Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
75
Double Faults
105
1st Serve Percentage
61%52%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (43/72)75% (38/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (27/47)49% (23/47)
Break Points Saved
76% (16/21)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
25% (13/51)40% (29/72)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (27/47)43% (20/47)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)24% (5/21)
Service Points Won
59% (70/119)60% (62/103)
Return Points Won
40% (41/103)41% (49/119)
Total Points Won
50% (111/222)50% (111/222)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
111
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Elise Mertens
43.3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elise Mertens's form might have worsened.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.91)

    1.69
    (1.91)
    4.5%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mertens (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alexandrova (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked WTA: 25. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 19.
    • In recent matches, Mertens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alexandrova is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Alexandrova will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens 2:0
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Samsonova L. (1)Branstine C. (Q)1 : 2
    2Van den Broek I. L. (Q)Ruse G. (Q)0 : 2
    3Garland J. (Q)Andreescu B. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vrancken Peeters A. (WC)Sun L. (7)0 : 2
    5Linette M. (4)Pera B.1 : 2
    6Hartono A. (WC)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    7Wickmayer Y. (Q)Lamens S.1 : 2
    8Li A.Potapova A. (5)2 : 0
    9Wang Xin. (6)Birrell K.1 : 2
    10Sevastova A.Yuan Y. (LL)0 : 2
    11Koevermans A. (WC)Sakkari M.0 : 2
    12Tomova V.Mertens E. (3)0 : 2
    13Kudermetova V. (8)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    14Collins D.Minnen G.1 : 2
    15Siniakova K.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    16Bolkvadze M. (Q)Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Branstine C.Ruse G.0 : 2
    2Andreescu B.Sun L. (7)2 : 0
    3Pera B.Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    4Lamens S.Li A.2 : 0
    5Birrell K.Yuan Y.0 : 2
    6Sakkari M.Mertens E. (3)0 : 2
    7Kudermetova V. (8)Minnen G.2 : 0
    8Blinkova A.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruse G.Andreescu B.2 : 0
    2Cocciaretto E.Lamens S.2 : 0
    3Yuan Y.Mertens E. (3)0 : 2
    4Kudermetova V. (8)Alexandrova E. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ruse G.Cocciaretto E.2 : 1
    2Mertens E. (3)Alexandrova E. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Ruse G.Mertens E. (3)0 : 2