Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 52% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (43/72) | 75% (38/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 49% (23/47) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (13/51) | 40% (29/72) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 43% (20/47) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 24% (5/21) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (70/119) | 60% (62/103) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (41/103) | 41% (49/119) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (111/222) | 50% (111/222) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 53% (16/30) |
Chances of winning
Elise Mertens
43.3% | Ekaterina Alexandrova
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elise Mertens's form might have worsened.Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.91) |
|
1.69 ↓
(1.91) |
4.5%
(4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mertens (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alexandrova (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mertens is ranked WTA: 25. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 19.
- In recent matches, Mertens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alexandrova is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Alexandrova will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Elise Mertens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Elise Mertens?
Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Ekaterina Alexandrova were as follows:
12.02.2025
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Elise Mertens
2:0
Latest results of Elise Mertens
Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Samsonova L. (1) | Branstine C. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Van den Broek I. L. (Q) | Ruse G. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Garland J. (Q) | Andreescu B. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Vrancken Peeters A. (WC) | Sun L. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Linette M. (4) | Pera B. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Hartono A. (WC) | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Wickmayer Y. (Q) | Lamens S. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Li A. | Potapova A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Wang Xin. (6) | Birrell K. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Sevastova A. | Yuan Y. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Koevermans A. (WC) | Sakkari M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Tomova V. | Mertens E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Kudermetova V. (8) | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Collins D. | Minnen G. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Siniakova K. | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bolkvadze M. (Q) | Alexandrova E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Branstine C. | Ruse G. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Andreescu B. | Sun L. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pera B. | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Lamens S. | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Birrell K. | Yuan Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Sakkari M. | Mertens E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Kudermetova V. (8) | Minnen G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Blinkova A. | Alexandrova E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ruse G. | Andreescu B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cocciaretto E. | Lamens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Yuan Y. | Mertens E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kudermetova V. (8) | Alexandrova E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ruse G. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mertens E. (3) | Alexandrova E. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ruse G. | Mertens E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
