Result
1:2
08/10/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (35/55) | 71% (39/55) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (13/30) | 48% (16/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 36% (20/55) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 57% (17/30) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 50% (4/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (53/89) | 63% (59/94) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (35/94) | 40% (36/89) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (88/183) | 52% (95/183) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 53% (16/30) |
Chances of winning
Ekaterina Alexandrova
52.4% | Jessica Pegula
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.07) |
|
2.03 ↑
(1.79) |
3.6%
(4.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula?
Users Predictions:
Ekaterina Alexandrova will win
(27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 11. Pegula is ranked WTA: 6.
- Recent performances by Alexandrova have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pegula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Jessica Pegula?
Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
19.04.2025
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Jessica Pegula
2:0
05.04.2025
Jessica Pegula
-
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2:1
13.02.2025
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Jessica Pegula
2:1
27.03.2024
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Jessica Pegula
2:1
Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sramkova R. | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Zakharova A. (Q) | Kenin S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Arango E. (LL) | Samsonova L. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Osaka N. (11) | Fernandez L. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Noskova L. | Putintseva Y. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kessler M. | Cristian J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Rybakina E. (8) | |
| 9 | Jovic I. (LL) | Bye | |
| 10 | Gracheva V. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhu L. | Joint M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Siniakova K. (Q) | Shnaider D. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Mboko V. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Raducanu E. (RET.) | Li A. | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Krueger A. | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Pegula J. (6) | |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Yastremska D. (RET.) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 1 |
| 19 | Frech M. | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Kostyuk M. | Muchova K. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Navarro E. (14) | Zhang S. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Cirstea S. | Ostapenko J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 23 | Uchijima M. (Q) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Gauff C. (3) | |
| 25 | Paolini J. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bronzetti L. (Q) | Yuan Y. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Danilovic O. | Tauson C. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Bencic B. (13) | Vekic D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Mertens E. | Kudermetova P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Osorio C. (WC) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kenin S. | Samsonova L. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (11) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cristian J. | Rybakina E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Jovic I. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Joint M. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Baptiste H. | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (5) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Frech M. | Muchova K. (RET.) (12) | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Zhang S. | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Uchijima M. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Paolini J. (7) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Ruzic A. | Tauson C. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bencic B. (WO.) (13) | Mertens E. | |
| 16 | Bouzkova M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Samsonova L. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noskova L. | Rybakina E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Jovic I. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Siegemund L. | Frech M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhang S. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Paolini J. (7) | Tauson C. (RET.) (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Bencic B. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Siniakova K. | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Siegemund L. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Paolini J. (7) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (3) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (6) | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
