Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Wuhan Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula
Result
1:2
08/10/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
90
1st Serve Percentage
65%63%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (35/55)71% (39/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)48% (16/33)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
38% (21/55)36% (20/55)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (17/33)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
60% (53/89)63% (59/94)
Return Points Won
37% (35/94)40% (36/89)
Total Points Won
48% (88/183)52% (95/183)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Ekaterina Alexandrova
52.4%
Jessica Pegula
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.
  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.07)

    2.03
    (1.79)
    3.6%
    (4.2%)
    What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula?
  • Users Predictions: Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.3%98.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 11. Pegula is ranked WTA: 6.
    • Recent performances by Alexandrova have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pegula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula 2:0
    05.04.2025 Jessica Pegula - Ekaterina Alexandrova 2:1
    13.02.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula 2:1
    27.03.2024 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula 2:1
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Sramkova R.Kalinskaya A.2 : 1
    3Zakharova A. (Q)Kenin S.1 : 2
    4Arango E. (LL)Samsonova L. (16)0 : 2
    5Osaka N. (11)Fernandez L.2 : 1
    6Noskova L.Putintseva Y. (Q)2 : 1
    7Kessler M.Cristian J.1 : 2
    8ByeRybakina E. (8)
    9Jovic I. (LL)Bye
    10Gracheva V. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    11Zhu L.Joint M.0 : 2
    12Siniakova K. (Q)Shnaider D. (15)2 : 0
    13Alexandrova E. (9)Mboko V.2 : 0
    14Raducanu E. (RET.)Li A.0 : 1
    15Krueger A.Baptiste H.1 : 2
    16ByePegula J. (6)
    17Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    18Yastremska D. (RET.)Siegemund L.1 : 1
    19Frech M.Kudermetova V.2 : 1
    20Kostyuk M.Muchova K. (12)1 : 2
    21Navarro E. (14)Zhang S. (WC)1 : 2
    22Cirstea S.Ostapenko J. (RET.)1 : 0
    23Uchijima M. (Q)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (3)
    25Paolini J. (7)Bye
    26Bronzetti L. (Q)Yuan Y. (WC)0 : 2
    27Ruzic A. (Q)Linette M.2 : 0
    28Danilovic O.Tauson C. (10)0 : 2
    29Bencic B. (13)Vekic D. (WC)2 : 0
    30Mertens E.Kudermetova P. (Q)2 : 0
    31Osorio C. (WC)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    32ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Sramkova R.2 : 1
    2Kenin S.Samsonova L. (16)1 : 2
    3Osaka N. (11)Noskova L.0 : 2
    4Cristian J.Rybakina E. (8)0 : 2
    5Jovic I.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    6Joint M.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (9)Li A.2 : 0
    8Baptiste H.Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (5)Siegemund L.1 : 2
    10Frech M.Muchova K. (RET.) (12)1 : 0
    11Zhang S.Cirstea S.2 : 1
    12Uchijima M.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Paolini J. (7)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    14Ruzic A.Tauson C. (10)0 : 2
    15Bencic B. (WO.) (13)Mertens E.
    16Bouzkova M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Samsonova L. (16)2 : 0
    2Noskova L.Rybakina E. (8)0 : 2
    3Jovic I.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    4Alexandrova E. (9)Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    5Siegemund L.Frech M.2 : 0
    6Zhang S.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    7Paolini J. (7)Tauson C. (RET.) (10)1 : 1
    8Bencic B. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (8)2 : 0
    2Siniakova K.Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    3Siegemund L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    4Paolini J. (7)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (6)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Paolini J. (7)2 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (6)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2