Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Stuttgart Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula
Result
2:0
19/04/2025 at 06:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
60
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
60%50%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (23/30)54% (20/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (11/20)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)72% (13/18)
1st Return Points Won
49% (18/37)23% (7/30)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)45% (9/20)
Break Points Converted
28% (5/18)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
68% (34/50)47% (35/74)
Return Points Won
53% (39/74)32% (16/50)
Total Points Won
59% (73/124)41% (51/124)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
05
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)38% (3/8)
Return Games Won
63% (5/8)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Ekaterina Alexandrova
41.3%
Jessica Pegula
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 65.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.
  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.64)

    1.62
    (1.49)
    5.2%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pegula (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 22. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.
    • Alexandrova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Pegula is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Alexandrova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Pegula will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.59.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Jessica Pegula - Ekaterina Alexandrova 2:1
    13.02.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula 2:1
    27.03.2024 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula 2:1
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Potapova A.Tauson C.2 : 1
    3Sasnovich A. (Q)Mertens E.0 : 2
    4Kudermetova V. (Q)Shnaider D. (8)1 : 2
    5Gauff C. (4)Bye
    6Maria T. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)1 : 2
    7Niemeier J. (WC)Siegemund L. (WC)2 : 1
    8Lys E. (WC)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Andreeva E. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    10Alexandrova E.Samsonova L.2 : 0
    11Frech M.Errani S. (LL)2 : 1
    12ByePegula J. (3)
    13Navarro E. (7)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    14Ostapenko J.Yastremska D. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    15Vekic D.Fett J. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Potapova A.
    2Mertens E.Shnaider D. (8)2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (4)Seidel E.2 : 0
    4Niemeier J.Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Alexandrova E.0 : 2
    6Frech M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (7)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    8Fett J.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mertens E.2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (4)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E.Pegula J. (3)2 : 0
    4Ostapenko J.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    2Alexandrova E.Ostapenko J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Ostapenko J.0 : 2