Result
2:0
19/04/2025 at 06:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 50% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (23/30) | 54% (20/37) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 43% (16/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 72% (13/18) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 23% (7/30) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 45% (9/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 20% (1/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (34/50) | 47% (35/74) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 32% (16/50) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (73/124) | 41% (51/124) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 38% (3/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 13% (1/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 25% (4/16) |
Chances of winning
Ekaterina Alexandrova
41.3% | Jessica Pegula
58.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekaterina Alexandrova's performance.Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.64) |
|
1.62 ↑
(1.49) |
5.2%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pegula (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 22. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.
- Alexandrova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Pegula is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Alexandrova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Pegula will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.59.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Jessica Pegula?
Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
05.04.2025
Jessica Pegula
-
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2:1
13.02.2025
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Jessica Pegula
2:1
27.03.2024
Ekaterina Alexandrova
-
Jessica Pegula
2:1
Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Potapova A. | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sasnovich A. (Q) | Mertens E. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kudermetova V. (Q) | Shnaider D. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maria T. (WC) | Seidel E. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Niemeier J. (WC) | Siegemund L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Lys E. (WC) | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (6) | Andreeva E. (RET.) (LL) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Alexandrova E. | Samsonova L. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Frech M. | Errani S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 13 | Navarro E. (7) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Ostapenko J. | Yastremska D. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Vekic D. | Fett J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1) | Potapova A. | |
| 2 | Mertens E. | Shnaider D. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (4) | Seidel E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Niemeier J. | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (6) | Alexandrova E. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Frech M. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (7) | Ostapenko J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fett J. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ostapenko J. | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Paolini J. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Alexandrova E. | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
