Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Olga Danilovic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/04/2025 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
63%63%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (27/41)58% (22/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (11/24)36% (8/22)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
42% (16/38)41% (17/41)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (14/22)54% (13/24)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
58% (38/65)51% (30/59)
Return Points Won
49% (29/59)42% (27/65)
Total Points Won
54% (67/124)46% (57/124)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)44% (4/9)
Return Games Won
56% (5/9)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Ekaterina Alexandrova
58.5%
Olga Danilovic
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Olga Danilovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olga Danilovic than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova - Olga Danilovic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.55)

    2.29
    (2.23)
    5%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Olga Danilovic?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Danilovic will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Danilovic: 38.6%83.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Danilovic (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Alexandrova (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - Alexandrova (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 Games - Alexandrova (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Danilovic (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 22. Danilovic is ranked WTA: 34.
    • Recent matches Alexandrova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Danilovic is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alexandrova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Alexandrova will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Olga Danilovic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.
    8TBD #15Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2