Result
2:1
12/10/2025 at 22:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 45% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (26/38) | 55% (28/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 53% (16/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 29% (2/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 32% (12/38) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 49% (23/47) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 33% (4/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (50/84) | 54% (44/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (37/81) | 40% (34/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (87/165) | 47% (78/165) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 44% (12/27) |
Chances of winning
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
28.5% | Jia-Jing Lu
71.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterina Ovcharenko's form might have worsened.Jia-Jing Lu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jia-Jing Lu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Jia-Jing Lu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.62) |
|
1.32 ↓
(1.44) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
Preview Facts
- Ovcharenko is ranked WTA: 439. Lu is ranked WTA: 349.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Lu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lu might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Ovcharenko won against Jia-Jing Lu?
Ekaterina Ovcharenko has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jia-Jing Lu won against Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Jia-Jing Lu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Jia-Jing Lu were as follows:
Latest results of Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Latest results of Jia-Jing Lu
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zakharova A. (1) | Tararudee L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Prozorova T. | Reyngold E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Li X. | Hartono A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shi H. | Sun L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tjen J. (3) | Wang Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Iatcenko P. | Pridankina E. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kaji H. | Ren Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Gao X. | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Osuigwe W. (8) | Paquet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Nugroho P. M. (Q) | Bai Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rodionova Ar. | Andreeva E. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Tian F. (Q) | Erjavec V. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (5) | Ma Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Korneeva A. | You X. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Wei S. | Zavatska K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Astakhova D. | Bondar A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zakharova A. (1) | Prozorova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hartono A. | Sun L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tjen J. (3) | Iatcenko P. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kaji H. | Gao X. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Osuigwe W. (8) | Nugroho P. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Rodionova Ar. | Erjavec V. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ma Y. | Korneeva A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Wei S. | Bondar A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zakharova A. (1) | Sun L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Tjen J. (3) | Gao X. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Nugroho P. M. | Rodionova Ar. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ma Y. | Bondar A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sun L. (6) | Tjen J. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Nugroho P. M. | Bondar A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Tjen J. (3) | Bondar A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
