El Bayadh vs Mostaganem – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15

Match Stats

Yellow cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Belmiloud K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


El Bayadh
47.6%
Draw
30.9%
Mostaganem
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 33.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 31.9% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Bayadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Bayadh's performance.
  • Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mostaganem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Bayadh than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Bayadh that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mostaganem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Bayadh - Mostaganem Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.62)
    3.04
    (2.79)
    4.38
    (2.97)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for El Bayadh - Mostaganem?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - El Bayadh (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DNB - El Bayadh (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Mostaganem (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - El Bayadh (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: El Bayadh will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.3%98.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): El Bayadh will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. El Bayadh (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Mostaganem (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • El Bayadh is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mostaganem has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Mostaganem will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, El Bayadh won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, El Bayadh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Bayadh - Mostaganem were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Mostaganem - El Bayadh 0:0
    30.11.2024 El Bayadh - Mostaganem 1:1
    Latest results of El Bayadh
    26.12.2025 Saoura - El Bayadh 2:1
    19.12.2025 El Bayadh - Khenchela 1:2
    04.12.2025 MC Alger - El Bayadh 1:0
    20.11.2025 Paradou - El Bayadh 2:0
    09.11.2025 El Bayadh - MC Alger 0:1
    Latest results of Mostaganem
    29.12.2025 Mostaganem - Ben Aknoun 0:1
    20.12.2025 Saoura - Mostaganem 3:2
    13.12.2025 Arbaâ - Mostaganem 0:1
    05.12.2025 Oran - Mostaganem 1:2
    17.11.2025 Mostaganem - USM Alger 2:2
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger17114218:81037
    2Constantine21106525:16936
    3Saoura20104624:22234
    4Olympique Akbou1995525:21432
    5Oran2086623:18530
    6Ben Aknoun1976624:23127
    7Rouisset2176820:22-227
    8CR Belouizdad1768320:14626
    9ES Setif2168722:25-326
    10USM Alger17510219:14525
    11Kabylie1767419:16325
    12Khenchela1967621:22-125
    13ASO Chlef2157918:21-322
    14Paradou19521221:30-917
    15Mostaganem21351312:24-1214
    16El Bayadh21271211:26-1513

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          Relegation ~ Ligue 2