Result
1:0
08/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (272/362) | 72% (251/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (272/362) | 72% (251/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (32/78) | 45% (33/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (66/118) | 57% (60/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', El Sayed N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Emad M. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
- 46', El Sayed N. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
- 57', Toure M. ↓, El Azab Y. ↑,
- 57', Ashraf M. ↓, Walid B. ↑,
- 66', Saidi K. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
- 67', Ibrahim H. 🟨,
- 68', El Gazar O. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
- 70', Zakaria Y. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, El Aash A. ⚽,
- 77', Gamal A. ↓, Ojo T. ↑,
- 80', Bolbol M. 🟨,
- 83', El Nahas M. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
- 87', Bolbol M. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
- 87', Mwanga J. ↓, El Moghzi M. ↑,
- 90+6', Metawea M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ghazl El Mahalla
26.7% | Draw
38.6% | El Gouna
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(3.04) |
2.42 ↓
(2.61) |
2.7 ↓
(2.75) |
7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). El Gouna will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 58.6% – 97%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - El Gouna (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El Gouna (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2.
- Ghazl El Mahalla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- El Gouna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ghazl El Mahalla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against El Gouna?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
El Gouna has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna were as follows:
20.08.2025
El Gouna
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
0:0
16.05.2025
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
El Gouna
0:4
23.11.2024
El Gouna
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
0:1
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Latest results of El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
