El Makarem de Mahdia vs Sporting Ben Arous – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 86', 1 - 0, Lazaar J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Jebiniani M. ,

Chances of winning


El Makarem de Mahdia
34.1%
Draw
32.7%
Sporting Ben Arous
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 30.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 29.8% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Sporting Ben Arous has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Ben Arous than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.45)
    2.79
    (3.01)
    2.75
    (2.82)
    9.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Recent performances by EM Mahdia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting Ben Arous is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sporting Ben Arous may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, EM Mahdia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, EM Mahdia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous were as follows:
    20.05.2023 Sporting Ben Arous - El Makarem de Mahdia 2:0
    04.01.2023 El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous 2:0
    Latest results of Sporting Ben Arous
    Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamam-Sousse19123430:141639
    2US Tataouine19115327:121538
    3Hammam-Lif19114428:101837
    4Sfax Railways1995525:19632
    5Sporting Ben Arous1969421:14727
    6Msaken1968519:19026
    7BS Bouhajla1967616:16025
    8EM Mahdia1966716:19-324
    9Megrine1964919:27-822
    10Chebba1948719:28-920
    11OC Kerkennah1947815:23-819
    12AS Agareb19451017:29-1217
    13Bousalem19451012:24-1217
    14Menzel Bourguiba1928914:24-1014


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Progres Sakiet19126134:112342
    2Stade Gabesien19105433:151835
    3Kasserine19104522:14834
    4Ksour Essef1975729:20926
    5Ariana1975720:21-126
    6Jendouba Sport19510422:16625
    7Bouchamma1967621:22-125
    8Korba1959511:12-124
    9Kalaa19721022:27-523
    10EGS Gafsa1965816:21-523
    11Redeyef1965820:29-923
    12Djelma1956812:24-1221
    13Moknine1955921:27-620
    14Sidi Bouzid19341211:35-2413

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