El Makarem de Mahdia vs Sporting Ben Arous – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 86', 1 - 0, Lazaar J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Jebiniani M. ,

Chances of winning


El Makarem de Mahdia
34.1%
Draw
32.7%
Sporting Ben Arous
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 30.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 29.8% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Sporting Ben Arous has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Ben Arous than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.45)
    2.79
    (3.01)
    2.75
    (2.82)
    9.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Recent performances by EM Mahdia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting Ben Arous is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sporting Ben Arous may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, EM Mahdia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, EM Mahdia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous were as follows:
    20.05.2023 Sporting Ben Arous - El Makarem de Mahdia 2:0
    04.01.2023 El Makarem de Mahdia - Sporting Ben Arous 2:0
    Latest results of Sporting Ben Arous
    Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamam-Sousse22153436:142248
    2Hammam-Lif22134532:122043
    3US Tataouine22126430:141642
    4Sfax Railways22106627:22536
    5Sporting Ben Arous2279623:16730
    6Msaken2279620:20030
    7EM Mahdia2269717:20-327
    8BS Bouhajla2268817:20-326
    9Megrine22751021:31-1026
    10OC Kerkennah2259818:25-724
    11Chebba2259823:31-824
    12Bousalem22651115:25-1023
    13AS Agareb22561118:30-1221
    14Menzel Bourguiba22281214:31-1714


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PS Sakiet Eddaier22137241:142746
    2Kasserine22134529:151443
    3Stade Gabesien22126437:172042
    4Korba2279614:14030
    5Ariana2286823:24-130
    6Ksour Essef2285934:27729
    7Jendouba Sport22611528:21729
    8Bouchamma2277826:27-128
    9Redeyef2277822:29-728
    10EGS Gafsa2276919:24-527
    11Kalaa22821223:36-1326
    12Moknine2258923:29-623
    13Djelma22571014:28-1422
    14Sidi Bouzid22351414:42-2814

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