Result
1:1
17/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (248/358) | 66% (214/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (248/358) | 66% (214/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (33/72) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (72/134) | 52% (43/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Hesham N. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Abou Gouda M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shaaban A. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
- 46', El Tayeb K. ↓, Farhat M. ↑,
- 46', Ezz M. ↓, Adel M. ↑,
- 58', Adel M. 🟨,
- 61', Kamel G. ↓, Mostafa W. ↑,
- 64', Gaber I. 🟨,
- 65', Gaber I. ↓, Ojera J. ↑,
- 66', Antar M. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
- 67', Fouad A. 🟨,
- 75', El Mizzayn I. ↓, Medhat W. R. ↑,
- 76', Abou Gouda M. ↓, Gamal M. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Medhat W. R. ⚽,
- 83', Ekpenyong C. ↓, Okoronkwo B. ↑,
- 83', Wael L. ↓, Hesham I. ↑,
- 90+6', Abed A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Mostafa W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Mokawloon El Arab
45.9% | Draw
32.6% | Pharco
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Pharco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Mokawloon El Arab that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pharco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.22) |
2.87 ↑
(2.75) |
4.36 ↑
(3.83) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Pharco will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Mokawloon: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 20 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- El Mokawloon could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Pharco?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pharco won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Pharco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco were as follows:
20.05.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Pharco
1:1
30.11.2023
Pharco
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:1
01.03.2023
Pharco
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
2:1
31.10.2022
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Pharco
0:0
23.08.2022
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Pharco
2:0
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Wadi Degla | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Enppi | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | ZED | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 12 | Smouha | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 13 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 15 | El Gouna | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Pharco | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Arab Contractors | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
