El Mokawloon El Arab vs Pharco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco
Result
1:1
17/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.53
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
69% (248/358)66% (214/323)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.080.70
Total shots
88
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
196
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
69% (248/358)66% (214/323)
Long passes
46% (33/72)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
54% (72/134)52% (43/83)
Crosses
24% (8/33)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.25
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
1713
Tackles
91% (10/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5460
Clearances
1139
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.700.08
Goals prevented
-0.30-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Hesham N. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Abou Gouda M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Shaaban A. , Ndiaye B. ,
  • 46', El Tayeb K. , Farhat M. ,
  • 46', Ezz M. , Adel M. ,
  • 58', Adel M. 🟨,
  • 61', Kamel G. , Mostafa W. ,
  • 64', Gaber I. 🟨,
  • 65', Gaber I. , Ojera J. ,
  • 66', Antar M. , Abdelnasser M. ,
  • 67', Fouad A. 🟨,
  • 75', El Mizzayn I. , Medhat W. R. ,
  • 76', Abou Gouda M. , Gamal M. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Medhat W. R. ,
  • 83', Ekpenyong C. , Okoronkwo B. ,
  • 83', Wael L. , Hesham I. ,
  • 90+6', Abed A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Mostafa W. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Mokawloon El Arab
45.9%
Draw
32.6%
Pharco
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 33.8% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28.6% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Pharco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Mokawloon El Arab that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pharco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.22)
    2.87
    (2.75)
    4.36
    (3.83)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Pharco will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for El Mokawloon: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 20 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • El Mokawloon could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco were as follows:
    20.05.2024 El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco 1:1
    30.11.2023 Pharco - El Mokawloon El Arab 1:1
    01.03.2023 Pharco - El Mokawloon El Arab 2:1
    31.10.2022 El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco 0:0
    23.08.2022 El Mokawloon El Arab - Pharco 2:0
    Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
    Latest results of Pharco
    26.08.2025 Zamalek - Pharco 1:0
    19.08.2025 Pharco - Tala`ea El-Gaish 0:1
    15.08.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Pharco 4:1
    10.08.2025 Pharco - ENPPI 0:0
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahly1063119:12721
    2Ceramica Cleopatra1062212:4820
    3Al Masry1154218:11719
    4Zamalek1053214:7718
    5Enppi1146110:6418
    6Pyramids852113:4917
    7Wadi Degla1144312:9316
    8Smouha103618:5315
    9Ghazl El Mahallah122917:4315
    10ZED114349:8115
    11Modern Sport1043313:13015
    12National Bank Egypt1035210:5514
    13Petrojet103529:10-114
    14El Gouna102627:9-212
    15Haras El Hodood113358:13-512
    16El Gaish112363:13-109
    17Al Ittihad102266:13-78
    18Kahrabaa Ismailia102269:19-108
    19El Ismaily112185:14-97
    20Arab Contractors110654:10-66
    21Pharco100643:10-76

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )