Result
2:1 penalties
18/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Ecuador - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | Teleamazonas |
 Peru | DSports 1611 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DSports 1611 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽,
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
Chances of winning
9 de Octubre
39.7% | Draw
29.1% | El Nacional
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
9 de Octubre - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.82) |
3.36 ↑
(3.28) |
3.13 ↑
(2.29) |
2.3%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- 9 de Octubre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has 9 de Octubre won against El Nacional?
9 de Octubre has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against 9 de Octubre?
El Nacional has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 9 de Octubre - El Nacional were as follows:
02.11.2022
9 de Octubre
-
El Nacional
0:0
08.09.2022
El Nacional
-
9 de Octubre
2:0
Latest results of 9 de Octubre
Latest results of El Nacional
Draw
20251/32-finals| 1 | Club Deportivo Ibarra | San Antonio | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Manta | Bye | |
| 3 | Liga De Macas | Olmedo | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | Bye | |
| 5 | Ecuagenera | Cumbaya | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Aucas | Bye | |
| 7 | Banos | Huaquillas FC | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | Bye | |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | Sembrando Buenos Campeones | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Orense | Bye | |
| 11 | Miguel Iturralde | Patria | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Emelec | Bye | |
| 13 | Luz Valdivia | Dep. Santo Domingo | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Delfin | Bye | |
| 15 | San Camilo | Guayaquil City | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | Bye | |
| 17 | Gualaceo | Mineros | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Vinotinto | Bye | |
| 19 | La Troncal | Imbabura | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Ind. del Valle | Bye | |
| 21 | Ind. Juniors | LDU Portoviejo | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Macara | Bye | |
| 23 | Rio Aguarico | Loja | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | U. Catolica | Bye | |
| 25 | Atletico Vinotinto | Cuenca Juniors | 2 : 3 |
| 26 | Barcelona SC | Bye | |
| 27 | La Cantera | Montufar | 4 : 1 |
| 28 | Libertad | Bye | |
| 29 | Club Deportivo Panamericana | Nueve de Octubre | 0 : 1 |
| 30 | Tecnico U. | Bye | |
| 31 | Deportivo Coca | 22 de Julio | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | EL Nacional | Bye | |
1/16-finals| 1 | San Antonio | Manta | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Olmedo | LDU Quito | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ecuagenera | Aucas | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Banos | Dep. Cuenca | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Leones del Norte | Orense | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Miguel Iturralde | Emelec | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Dep. Santo Domingo | Delfin | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City | Mushuc Runa | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Gualaceo | Vinotinto | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Imbabura | Ind. del Valle | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | LDU Portoviejo | Macara | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Aguarico | U. Catolica | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cuenca Juniors | Barcelona SC | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | La Cantera | Libertad | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Nueve de Octubre | Tecnico U. | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | 22 de Julio | EL Nacional | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | San Antonio | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | Aucas | Dep. Cuenca | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Leones del Norte | Emelec | |
| 4 | Dep. Santo Domingo | Guayaquil City | |
| 5 | Gualaceo | Ind. del Valle | |
| 6 | LDU Portoviejo | U. Catolica | |
| 7 | Cuenca Juniors | La Cantera | 6 : 1 |
| 8 | Nueve de Octubre | EL Nacional | 2 : 1 |
