Result
2:1 penalties
18/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Ecuador - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | Teleamazonas |
 Peru | DSports 1611 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DSports 1611 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽,
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
Chances of winning
9 de Octubre
39.7% | Draw
29.1% | El Nacional
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
9 de Octubre - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.82) |
3.36 ↑
(3.28) |
3.13 ↑
(2.29) |
2.3%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- 9 de Octubre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has 9 de Octubre won against El Nacional?
9 de Octubre has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against 9 de Octubre?
El Nacional has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 9 de Octubre - El Nacional were as follows:
02.11.2022
9 de Octubre
-
El Nacional
0:0
08.09.2022
El Nacional
-
9 de Octubre
2:0
Latest results of 9 de Octubre
Latest results of El Nacional
Draw
20261/32-finals| 1 | Guaranda | San Antonio | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | U.D. Juvenil | Daquilema | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Insutec | Club Deportivo Ibarra | 4 : 3 |
| 4 | Huaquillas FC | Rio Aguarico | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Quito | Cuenca Juniors | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Juventud Italiana | Atletico FC | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | La Union | Cumbaya | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Primero de Mayo | Dep. Santo Domingo | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Nazareno | Nueve de Octubre | 0 : 4 |
| 10 | Africando | Ind. Juniors | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Astillero | 22 de Julio | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Dunamis | EL Nacional | 1 : 5 |
| 13 | Domingo TSA | Vinotinto | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Banos | Anaconda | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Dep. Quito | Gualaceo | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Azogues | LDU Portoviejo | 0 : 5 |
