Result
1:0
06/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/343) | 69% (210/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/343) | 69% (210/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (74/112) | 51% (40/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Carabali F. 🟨,
- 30', Chala J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Montano M. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 55', Zambrano J. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
- 75', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 75', Valencia D. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 77', Chala J. ↓, Bartora G. ↑,
- 79', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 81', Quintero D. 🟥,
- 82', Cela A. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 85', Aleman C. ↓, Penarrieta J. ↑,
- 87', Velez C. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Borja J. ⚽,
- 90+4', Pazmino D. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
- 90+11', Alman J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
53.6% | Draw
25.3% | Manta
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
El Nacional - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.7) |
3.7 ↓
(3.71) |
4.41 ↑
(4.36) |
7.9%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Manta?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. El Nacional (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- El Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, El Nacional is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Manta?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against El Nacional?
Manta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Manta were as follows:
08.03.2025
Manta
-
El Nacional
4:3
04.10.2022
Manta
-
El Nacional
0:1
28.08.2022
El Nacional
-
Manta
1:0
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
