El Nacional vs Manta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Manta
Result
1:0
06/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 19
  • Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.12
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
244
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
78% (266/343)69% (210/305)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.410.00
Total shots
244
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
122
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
298
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
106
Passes
78% (266/343)69% (210/305)
Long passes
39% (24/61)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
66% (74/112)51% (40/79)
Crosses
30% (6/20)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.26
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
610
Tackles
74% (14/19)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5845
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.000.41
Goals prevented
0.00-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Carabali F. 🟨,
  • 30', Chala J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Montano M. , Guisamano J. ,
  • 55', Zambrano J. , Castillo A. ,
  • 75', Ospitaleche F. , Ortiz R. ,
  • 75', Valencia D. , Cabezas D. ,
  • 77', Chala J. , Bartora G. ,
  • 79', Quintero D. 🟨,
  • 81', Quintero D. 🟥,
  • 82', Cela A. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 85', Aleman C. , Penarrieta J. ,
  • 87', Velez C. , Borja J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Borja J. ,
  • 90+4', Pazmino D. , Branda V. ,
  • 90+11', Alman J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


El Nacional
53.6%
Draw
25.3%
Manta
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 24.8% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 24.2% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • El Nacional - Manta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.7)
    3.7
    (3.71)
    4.41
    (4.36)
    7.9%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for El Nacional - Manta?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. El Nacional (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • El Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, El Nacional is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Manta were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Manta - El Nacional 4:3
    04.10.2022 Manta - El Nacional 0:1
    28.08.2022 El Nacional - Manta 1:0
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Latest results of Manta
    23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0
    30.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:2
    24.05.2025 Manta - Vinotinto 2:2
    17.05.2025 SD Aucas - Manta 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2LDU Quito22117438:211740
    3Barcelona SC22115633:26738
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )