Result
0:0
29/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 18
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/314) | 71% (193/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/314) | 71% (193/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 29% (14/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (63/103) | 56% (42/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Cela A. 🟨,
- 31', Cristobal R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cristobal R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 59', Cela A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
- 63', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟥,
- 68', Herrera O. ↓, Vera D. ↑,
- 73', Celis R. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
- 77', Pazmino D. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 77', Minda T. ↓, Patta E. ↑,
- 77', Andrade J. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 88', Montano M. 🟨,
- 89', Chala J. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
- 90', Reasco D. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 90', Velez C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Perez M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Rivera B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
41.6% | Draw
27.4% | El Nacional
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Técnico Universitario - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.01) |
3.34 ↓
(3.48) |
3.02 ↓
(3.54) |
8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 4 - 40%). El Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Técnico Univ: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 0.
- Técnico Univ is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, El Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Técnico Univ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against El Nacional?
Técnico Universitario has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Técnico Universitario?
El Nacional has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - El Nacional were as follows:
02.03.2025
El Nacional
-
Técnico Universitario
0:0
01.12.2024
El Nacional
-
Técnico Universitario
2:1
31.05.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
El Nacional
1:2
12.08.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
El Nacional
3:3
04.03.2023
El Nacional
-
Técnico Universitario
3:2
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
