Técnico Universitario vs El Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

Liga Pro - Round 18
Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	1.14
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
75% (237/314)	71% (193/271)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.29	0.24
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
16	12
Passes
75% (237/314)	71% (193/271)
Long passes
29% (14/48)	29% (14/48)
Passes in final third
61% (63/103)	56% (42/75)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.56
Throw-ins
15	17
Fouls
12	16
Tackles
84% (16/19)	38% (3/8)
Duels won
55	37
Clearances
14	27
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.24	0.29
Goals prevented
0.24	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Cela A. 🟨,
31', Cristobal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cristobal R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
59', Cela A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
63', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟥,
68', Herrera O. ↓, Vera D. ↑,
73', Celis R. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
77', Pazmino D. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
77', Minda T. ↓, Patta E. ↑,
77', Andrade J. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
88', Montano M. 🟨,
89', Chala J. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
90', Reasco D. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
90', Velez C. 🟨,
90+3', Perez M. 🟨,
90+8', Rivera B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Técnico Universitario
41.6%

Draw
27.4%

El Nacional
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Técnico Universitario - El Nacional Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.01)	3.34 ↓ (3.48)	3.02 ↓ (3.54)	8% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - El Nacional?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 4 - 40%). El Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Técnico Univ: 9.6% – 70.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 0.
Técnico Univ is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, El Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Técnico Univ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against El Nacional?

Técnico Universitario has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Técnico Universitario?

El Nacional has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - El Nacional were as follows:

02.03.2025 El Nacional - Técnico Universitario 0:0

01.12.2024 El Nacional - Técnico Universitario 2:1

31.05.2024 Técnico Universitario - El Nacional 1:2

12.08.2023 Técnico Universitario - El Nacional 3:3

04.03.2023 El Nacional - Técnico Universitario 3:2

Latest results of Técnico Universitario

20.06.2025 Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario 4:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario 3:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Delfín 1:2 ✺

16.05.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario 2:0 ✺

Latest results of El Nacional

21.06.2025 El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional 4:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Mushuc Runa - El Nacional 2:3 ✺

25.05.2025 El Nacional - Emelec 2:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - El Nacional 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Libertad	27	11	9	7	40:34	6	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	27	6	11	10	25:40	-15	29
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

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Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )