Técnico Universitario vs El Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Técnico Universitario - El Nacional
Result
0:0
29/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 18
  • Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.14
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
75% (237/314)71% (193/271)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.290.24
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
75% (237/314)71% (193/271)
Long passes
29% (14/48)29% (14/48)
Passes in final third
61% (63/103)56% (42/75)
Crosses
27% (6/22)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
1216
Tackles
84% (16/19)38% (3/8)
Duels won
5537
Clearances
1427
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.240.29
Goals prevented
0.240.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Cela A. 🟨,
  • 31', Cristobal R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cristobal R. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 59', Cela A. , Rivera B. ,
  • 63', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟥,
  • 68', Herrera O. , Vera D. ,
  • 73', Celis R. , Carabali E. ,
  • 77', Pazmino D. , Guisamano J. ,
  • 77', Minda T. , Patta E. ,
  • 77', Andrade J. , Corozo B. ,
  • 88', Montano M. 🟨,
  • 89', Chala J. , Branda V. ,
  • 90', Reasco D. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 90', Velez C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Perez M. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Rivera B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Técnico Universitario
41.6%
Draw
27.4%
El Nacional
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.9% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.5% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Técnico Universitario - El Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.01)
    3.34
    (3.48)
    3.02
    (3.54)
    8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - El Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 4 - 40%). El Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Técnico Univ: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 0.
    • Técnico Univ is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, El Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Técnico Univ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - El Nacional were as follows:
    02.03.2025 El Nacional - Técnico Universitario 0:0
    01.12.2024 El Nacional - Técnico Universitario 2:1
    31.05.2024 Técnico Universitario - El Nacional 1:2
    12.08.2023 Técnico Universitario - El Nacional 3:3
    04.03.2023 El Nacional - Técnico Universitario 3:2
    Latest results of Técnico Universitario
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

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