Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 0, Bixente K. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
El Palmar 31.4% | Draw 32.8% | Bala Azul 35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Palmar's form might have worsened.Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Palmar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
El Palmar - Bala Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↑ (2.45) |
2.78 ↓ (3.1) |
2.54 ↓ (2.71) |
10% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
- El Palmar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bala Azul's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, El Palmar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Palmar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Palmar won against Bala Azul?
El Palmar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bala Azul won against El Palmar?
Bala Azul has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Palmar - Bala Azul were as follows:
05.10.2025
Bala Azul
-
El Palmar
1:1
22.09.2024
El Palmar
-
Bala Azul
0:0
Latest results of El Palmar
Latest results of Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 51:15 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Molinense | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 51 |
| 4 | Olimpico de Totana | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 33:19 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Mazarron CF | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Pulpileno | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Aguilas FC B | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Minerva | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:31 | 3 | 33 |
| 12 | Bala Azul | 27 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | EG El Palmar CF | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Santomera | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Muleno | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )
Relegation