El Palo vs Motril – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Carlos Leon ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


El Palo
12.8%
Draw
23%
Motril
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12% 21.9% 66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 21.5% 67.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • El Palo - Motril Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.07
    (7.57)
    3.94
    (4.14)
    1.42
    (1.37)
    10.1%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 2.
    • Recent form of El Palo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Motril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Motril is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Palo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Palo - Motril were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Motril - El Palo 5:0
    26.01.2025 Motril - El Palo 0:0
    15.09.2024 El Palo - Motril 0:0
    05.02.2023 Motril - El Palo 0:1
    09.10.2022 El Palo - Motril 3:0
    Latest results of El Palo
    05.04.2026 El Palo - UD San Pedro 0:2
    29.03.2026 Alhaurino - El Palo 2:1
    22.03.2026 El Palo - Torredonjimeno 3:0
    15.03.2026 Granada B - El Palo 1:0
    08.03.2026 El Palo - Huétor Vega 1:1
    Latest results of Motril
    05.04.2026 Motril - Mijas-Las Lagunas 2:2
    29.03.2026 UD San Pedro - Motril 2:1
    22.03.2026 Motril - Marbellí 0:0
    15.03.2026 Alhaurino - Motril 0:1
    08.03.2026 Motril - Mancha Real 3:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril301610450:262458
    2Mijas Las Lagunas30168634:191556
    3Arenas Armilla30149734:231151
    4Torre del Mar301312533:211251
    5Churriana de la Vega30129928:35-745
    6Marbelli301281031:25644
    7Torredonjimeno301111836:34244
    8Huetor Vega301181137:36141
    9Atletico de Porcuna301241435:33240
    10Granada CF B30912940:38239
    11UD San Pedro301091131:33-239
    12CD Alhaurino30991235:38-336
    13Melilla B308111123:24-135
    14Huetor Tajar308101236:39-334
    15Martos308101230:37-734
    16Mancha30881424:32-832
    17CD Torreperogil30761720:40-2027
    18El Palo30581724:48-2423

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation