Peña Deportiva vs Elche Ilicitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3 Peña Deportiva - Elche Ilicitano
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 34

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Pena H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Valles A. ,
  • 90+3', Nordin M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Peña Deportiva
43.8%
Draw
27.9%
Elche Ilicitano
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 28.8% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 27.4% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peña Deportiva's performance.
  • Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche Ilicitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peña Deportiva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche Ilicitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peña Deportiva - Elche Ilicitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.52)
    3.27
    (3.18)
    3.2
    (2.64)
    10%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Peña Deportiva is Relegated to
    • Recent performances by Peña Deportiva have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ilicitano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Peña Deportiva could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peña Deportiva - Elche Ilicitano were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Elche Ilicitano - Peña Deportiva 2:1
    Latest results of Peña Deportiva
    Latest results of Elche Ilicitano
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2