Athletic Bilbao vs Elche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 25
  • Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1, Nova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.190.82
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
182
Shots on target
82
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
41
Passes
75% (264/351)76% (337/441)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
3.190.82
xG on target (xGOT)
3.830.78
Total shots
182
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
40
Blocked shots
60
Shots inside the box
141
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
276
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free kicks
918
Passes
75% (264/351)76% (337/441)
Long passes
42% (28/66)41% (34/83)
Passes in final third
63% (72/115)55% (53/96)
Crosses
14% (4/28)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.13
Throw ins
1927
Fouls
189
Tackles
53% (9/17)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4363
Clearances
1428
Interceptions
1414
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.783.83
Goals prevented
-0.221.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Febas A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Cepeda L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Gomez U. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Guruzeta G. , Berchiche Y. (A),
  • 67', Lekue I. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Andre Silva (Penalty Awarded),
  • 70', Gomez U. , Garcia E. ,
  • 70', Rego A. , Vesga M. ,
  • 74', Tete Morente , Buba Sangare ,
  • 75', Rodriguez A. , Mir R. ,
  • 75', Petrot L. , Affengruber D. ,
  • 75', Sancet O. , Navarro R. ,
  • 80', Williams I. , Izeta ,
  • 81', Lekue I. , Areso J. ,
  • 81', Valera G. , Pedrosa A. ,
  • 88', Bigas P. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Guruzeta G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+1', Garcia E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bigas P. , Boayar A. ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
55.3%
Draw
25.6%
Elche
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 24.4% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 23.6% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Elche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.62)
    3.74
    (3.86)
    5.02
    (5.44)
    4.2%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Elche?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Athletic (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Athletic (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Elche (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.79%92.47%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Elche (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
    • Athletic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Elche is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletic is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams N. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Elche: Diangana G. (Injury) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Berenguer A. (Injury) Jauregizar M. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Elche were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Elche - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    28.05.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Elche 0:1
    11.09.2022 Elche - Athletic Bilbao 1:4
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Elche
    13.02.2026 Elche - Osasuna 0:0
    07.02.2026 Real Sociedad - Elche 3:1
    31.01.2026 Elche - Barcelona 1:3
    23.01.2026 Levante - Elche 3:2
    19.01.2026 Elche - Sevilla 2:2
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona26211471:264564
    2Real Madrid26193454:223260
    3Atl. Madrid26156543:232051
    4Villarreal26163748:311751
    5Betis261110542:321043
    6Celta Vigo261010636:28840
    7Espanyol261061033:39-636
    8Real Sociedad2698938:38035
    9Ath Bilbao261051130:36-635
    10Osasuna26961130:30033
    11Getafe26951221:29-832
    12Sevilla26861234:41-730
    13Girona26791027:42-1530
    14Valencia26781127:39-1229
    15Rayo Vallecano25691023:32-927
    16Alaves26761323:34-1127
    17Elche265111034:39-526
    18Mallorca26661429:42-1324
    19Levante26561528:44-1621
    20Oviedo25381416:40-2417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2