Elche vs Celta de Vigo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Elche - Celta de Vigo
Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.320.77
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
91% (524/574)83% (297/359)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
3.320.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.830.27
Total shots
178
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3511
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
2012
Passes
91% (524/574)83% (297/359)
Long passes
53% (28/53)31% (10/32)
Passes in final third
85% (142/168)66% (59/90)
Crosses
26% (6/23)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.100.54
Throw-ins
918
Fouls
1220
Tackles
69% (11/16)54% (13/24)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
2130
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.272.83
Goals prevented
-0.730.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Mingueza O. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Andre Silva , Josan (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Iglesias B. , Moriba I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mingueza O. , Rueda J. ,
  • 46', Moriba I. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 54', Mir R. (Pen),
  • 57', Lago Y. 🟨,
  • 64', Josan 🟨,
  • 65', Andre Silva , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 67', Zaragoza B. , Swedberg W. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Donald J. ,
  • 70', Affengruber D. 🟨,
  • 72', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
  • 73', Pedrosa A. , Petrot L. ,
  • 74', Lago Y. , Aspas I. ,
  • 74', Bigas P. , Chust V. ,
  • 81', Mir R. , Diangana G. ,
  • 81', Josan , Aguado M. ,
  • 82', Alonso M. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 85', Roman M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elche
33.3%
Draw
34.6%
Celta de Vigo
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 30.6% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 31.2% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Elche - Celta de Vigo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.67)
    2.8
    (3.17)
    3.15
    (2.93)
    0.6%
    (3.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Elche - Celta de Vigo?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Celta will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.5%68.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Elche: Mendoza R. (International duty) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Carreira S. (Ankle Injury) Starfelt C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elche: Houary A. (Illness) Neto M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Celta: Ristic M. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Celta de Vigo were as follows:
    06.01.2023 Elche - Celta de Vigo 0:1
    Latest results of Elche
    25.09.2025 Osasuna - Elche 1:1
    21.09.2025 Elche - Real Oviedo 1:0
    12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2
    04.09.2025 Real Murcia - Elche 3:1
    29.08.2025 Elche - Levante 2:0
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1
    31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1
    27.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Betis 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    6Sevilla841315:11413
    7Elche834111:9213
    8Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    9Espanyol833211:11012
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    17R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    18Girona81345:17-126
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

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