Elche vs Ferrol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Elche - Ferrol
Result
1:0
07/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 34
  • Referee: De La Fuente O. (Esp)
Elche - Ferrol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.23
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (431/506)77% (227/295)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.11
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2110
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
912
Passes
85% (431/506)77% (227/295)
Long passes
56% (35/63)54% (29/54)
Passes in final third
76% (118/155)56% (33/59)
Crosses
27% (7/26)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.22
Fouls
129
Tackles
50% (9/18)46% (6/13)
Duels won
3944
Clearances Total
734
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.111.22
Goals prevented
0.110.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Josan , Mercau N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Josan , Valera G. ,
  • 59', Diaby B. , Bigas P. ,
  • 68', Martinez B. 🟨,
  • 70', Garcia N. , Blanco R. ,
  • 70', Dorrio J. , Nacho ,
  • 74', Alvarez A. , El Ghezouani M. ,
  • 74', Mercau N. , Plano O. ,
  • 76', Salinas J. 🟨,
  • 78', Gimenez A. , Jauregi E. ,
  • 78', Sanz A. , Borrego C. ,
  • 79', Aguado M. , Donald J. ,
  • 88', Bunuel A. , Pena H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Elche
67.1%
Draw
21.7%
Ferrol
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.3% 20% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 18.9% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Elche - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.38)
    4.32
    (4.71)
    8.56
    (8.03)
    6.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Elche - Ferrol?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 19 - 95%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 85.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Elche (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Elche (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ferrol has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Elche is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Elche: Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ferrol: Correa R. (Injury) Perea L. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Ferrol were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Ferrol - Elche 1:0
    31.03.2024 Ferrol - Elche 1:0
    12.08.2023 Elche - Ferrol 0:1
    Latest results of Elche
    30.03.2025 Córdoba - Elche 1:2
    22.03.2025 Elche - Eldense 2:0
    14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1
    08.03.2025 Elche - Castellón 3:1
    02.03.2025 Racing Santander - Elche 2:0
    Latest results of Ferrol
    22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0
    15.03.2025 Ferrol - Eibar 0:0
    09.03.2025 Granada - Ferrol 3:0
    05.03.2025 Ferrol - Burgos 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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