Mecalia Atletico Guardes vs Elche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
21:20
21/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • European Cup Women - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Mecalia Atletico Guardes
76.1%
Draw
10.1%
Elche
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 10.6% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 11.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mecalia Atletico Guardes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mecalia Atletico Guardes's performance.
  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mecalia Atletico Guardes than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mecalia Atletico Guardes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.44)
    9.3
    (8.6)
    6.74
    (3.47)
    6.9%
    (9.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guardes won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Guardes is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guardes won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 463:446. (average 23.2:22.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guardes won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 262:230. (average 23.8:20.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche were as follows:
    12.11.2025 Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche 20:17
    25.05.2025 Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche 23:20
    21.05.2025 Elche - Mecalia Atletico Guardes 26:22
    02.04.2025 Elche - Mecalia Atletico Guardes 18:20
    12.11.2024 Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche 23:20
    Latest results of Mecalia Atletico Guardes
    Latest results of Elche
    28.02.2026 Elda Prestigia - Elche 21:22
    21.02.2026 Elche - Porriño 22:18
    15.02.2026 Aula Valladolid - Elche 20:20
    07.02.2026 Elche - Malaga Costa del Sol 22:27
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Westfriesland SEW WABC Braga W23 : 22, 28 : 26
    2Ajdovscina WCair W33 : 27, 27 : 24
    3Garliava WKumanovo W31 : 32, 32 : 25
    4H 71 WVenlo W35 : 35
    5Quintus WLatsia W43 : 6, 41 : 12
    6Michalovce WBye
    7Split 2010 WKrajina W26 : 28, 37 : 29
    8Metalurg Avtokomanda WDifferdange W31 : 24, 40 : 25
    9Dudelange WMalaga W11 : 37, 14 : 42
    10Haukar WBye
    11Krivaja WSala W29 : 47, 27 : 36
    12Maccabi Arazim Ramat-gan WRK Bor W26 : 32, 21 : 24
    13Azeryol WKorneuburg W29 : 33, 26 : 40
    14Lazne Kynzvart WBye
    15Ferizaj WJomi Salerno W19 : 44, 20 : 39
    16Start Elblag WTrabzon Ortahisar W29 : 30, 39 : 32
    17Beti-Onak WGalychanka Lviv W26 : 24, 26 : 25
    18Winterthur WShqipona W48 : 29, 38 : 23
    19Bursa BB WBye
    20AEK Athens WSelfoss W24 : 27, 32 : 26
    21Atzgersdorf WMK Holon W41 : 19, 39 : 20
    22Paok WSamadrexha W34 : 20, 38 : 28
    23Madeira SAD WBye
    24AEP Panorama WIstogu W28 : 28, 31 : 39
    25ZRD Litija WByala W27 : 39, 28 : 27
    26Guardes WBye
    27Erice WZeleznicar W37 : 29, 46 : 25
    28Kaerjeng WArtas W26 : 30, 24 : 19
    29Kobierzyce WUskudar W34 : 31, 31 : 32
    30Sao Pedro Sul WKur W31 : 23, 26 : 26
    31Elche-Mustang WDunajska Streda W24 : 30, 31 : 21
    32Gjorche Petrov WBye

    1/16-finals
    1Westfriesland SEW WAjdovscina W19 : 24, 27 : 27
    2Garliava WVenlo W20 : 42, 22 : 28
    3Quintus WMichalovce W17 : 41, 33 : 38
    4Split 2010 WMetalurg Avtokomanda W26 : 25, 24 : 24
    5Malaga WHaukar W27 : 19, 36 : 18
    6Sala WRK Bor W31 : 36, 35 : 31
    7Korneuburg WLazne Kynzvart W23 : 45, 24 : 40
    8Jomi Salerno WStart Elblag W33 : 32, 26 : 26
    9Beti-Onak WWinterthur W27 : 25, 30 : 26
    10Bursa BB WAEK Athens W30 : 29, 37 : 29
    11Atzgersdorf WPaok W25 : 27, 28 : 35
    12Madeira SAD WIstogu W34 : 20, 40 : 17
    13Byala WGuardes W24 : 39, 19 : 45
    14Erice WKaerjeng W32 : 17, 36 : 13
    15Kobierzyce WSao Pedro Sul W23 : 29, 33 : 19
    16Elche-Mustang WGjorche Petrov W25 : 19, 19 : 16

    1/8-finals
    1Ajdovscina WVenlo W29 : 33, 28 : 27
    2Michalovce WSplit 2010 W30 : 29, 35 : 29
    3Malaga WRK Bor W22 : 17, 24 : 21
    4Lazne Kynzvart WJomi Salerno W29 : 32, 33 : 28
    5Beti-Onak WBursa BB W28 : 32, 24 : 25
    6Paok WMadeira SAD W19 : 20, 37 : 26
    7Guardes WErice W30 : 19, 25 : 22
    8Kobierzyce WElche-Mustang W21 : 27, 22 : 28

    Quarter-finals
    1Venlo WMichalovce W
    2Malaga WLazne Kynzvart W
    3Bursa BB WPaok W36 : 30
    4Guardes WElche-Mustang W21 : 20