Paula Badosa vs Elena Gabriela Ruse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/03/2026 at 17:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
107
1st serve percentage
56%55%
1st serve points won
67% (34/51)62% (38/61)
2nd serve points won
45% (18/40)39% (19/49)
Break Points Saved
3/811/17
1st return points won
39% (24/61)33% (17/51)
2nd return points won
61% (30/49)55% (22/40)
Break Points Converted
6/175/8
Service Points Won
57% (52/91)53% (57/107)
Return Points Won
47% (50/107)43% (39/91)
Total Points Won
52% (102/198)48% (96/198)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
64% (9/14)57% (8/14)
Return games won
43% (6/14)36% (5/14)
Total games won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Paula Badosa
58.1%
Elena Gabriela Ruse
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Paula Badosa - Elena Gabriela Ruse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.5)

    2.23
    (2.48)
    7%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Paula Badosa - Elena Gabriela Ruse?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Badosa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Badosa is ranked WTA: 106. Ruse is ranked WTA: 74.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Badosa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paula Badosa - Elena Gabriela Ruse were as follows:
    29.05.2025 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa 1:2
    30.08.2024 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa 1:2
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Sun L.0 : 2
    2Badosa P. (WC)Ruse G.2 : 1
    3Stefanini L. (Q)Kraus S.0 : 2
    4Yuan Y.Selekhmeteva O. (7)0 : 2
    5Sierra S. (3)Andreescu B. (WC)1 : 2
    6Zarazua R.Blinkova A.2 : 1
    7Inglis M.Jones E. (Q)0 : 2
    8Vekic D.Marcinko P. (8)2 : 0
    9McNally C. (5)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 1
    10Galfi D.Tararudee L. (Q)0 : 2
    11Zakharova A. (Q)Golubic V.2 : 0
    12Fruhvirtova L.Haddad Maia B. (4)2 : 1
    13Birrell K. (6)Seidel E.2 : 0
    14Lamens S.Rakhimova K.1 : 2
    15Sakatsume H. (LL)Juvan K.0 : 2
    16Waltert S.Kessler M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sun L.Badosa P.0 : 2
    2Kraus S.Selekhmeteva O. (7)2 : 1
    3Andreescu B.Zarazua R.2 : 0
    4Jones E.Vekic D.2 : 0
    5McNally C. (5)Tararudee L.1 : 2
    6Zakharova A.Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Birrell K. (6)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    8Juvan K.Kessler M. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Badosa P.Kraus S.2 : 0
    2Andreescu B.Jones E.2 : 1
    3Tararudee L.Zakharova A.2 : 0
    4Birrell K. (6)Kessler M. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Badosa P.Andreescu B.1 : 2
    2Tararudee L.Birrell K. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Andreescu B.Tararudee L.1 : 2