Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena Rybakina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Ningbo Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina
Result
0:2
17/10/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Ningbo, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium

Match Stats

Aces
07
Double Faults
93
1st Serve Percentage
56%58%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (17/30)76% (16/21)
2nd Serve Points Won
17% (4/24)67% (10/15)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
33% (7/21)50% (15/30)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (5/15)83% (20/24)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)50% (6/12)
Service Points Won
40% (21/53)72% (26/36)
Return Points Won
28% (10/36)60% (32/53)
Total Points Won
35% (31/89)65% (58/89)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
14% (1/7)86% (6/7)
Return Games Won
14% (1/7)86% (6/7)
Total Games Won
14% (2/14)86% (12/14)

Chances of winning


Ajla Tomljanovic
20.4%
Elena Rybakina
79.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajla Tomljanovic's form might have worsened.
  • Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Rybakina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+31.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajla Tomljanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-31.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Rybakina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.85
    (1.9)

    1.3
    (1.9)
    -2.2%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tomljanovic will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rybakina will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tomljanovic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 104. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 9.
    • Tomljanovic has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Rybakina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Rybakina is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tomljanovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina were as follows:
    30.08.2023 Elena Rybakina - Ajla Tomljanovic Rybakina E. walkover
    Latest results of Ajla Tomljanovic
    Latest results of Elena Rybakina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Bye
    2Raducanu E.Zhu L. (WC)1 : 2
    3Vondrousova M.Muchova K.0 : 2
    4Wang Xiy. (WC)Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    5Alexandrova E. (4)Bye
    6Yuan Y. (WC)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    7Kenin S.Kessler M.0 : 2
    8Guo H. (Q)Samsonova L. (8)0 : 2
    9Tauson C. (5)Tomljanovic A. (Q)1 : 2
    10Sasnovich A. (Q)Sonmez Z. (Q)1 : 2
    11Mboko V.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    12ByeRybakina E. (3)
    13Bencic B. (6)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Putintseva Y. (Q)Starodubtseva Y. (Q)0 : 2
    15Ruzic A. (LL)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Zhu L.1 : 2
    2Muchova K.Shnaider D. (7)1 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (4)Yuan Y.2 : 0
    4Kessler M.Samsonova L. (8)2 : 0
    5Tomljanovic A.Sonmez Z.2 : 0
    6Yastremska D.Rybakina E. (3)1 : 2
    7Bencic B. (6)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 1
    8Kudermetova V.Paolini J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zhu L.Shnaider D. (7)1 : 2
    2Alexandrova E. (4)Kessler M.2 : 0
    3Tomljanovic A.Rybakina E. (3)0 : 2
    4Bencic B. (6)Paolini J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Shnaider D. (7)Alexandrova E. (4)0 : 2
    2Rybakina E. (3)Paolini J. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alexandrova E. (4)Rybakina E. (3)1 : 2