Elena Rybakina vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
italyItalySuper Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
60%63%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (30/38)76% (25/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (14/25)37% (7/19)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
24% (8/33)32% (12/38)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (12/19)44% (11/25)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)17% (1/6)
Winners
2221
Unforced Errors
1619
Service Points Won
70% (44/63)62% (32/52)
Return Points Won
38% (20/52)30% (19/63)
Total Points Won
56% (64/115)44% (51/115)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Elena Rybakina
68.6%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Rybakina's performance.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Alexandrova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.49)

    3.01
    (2.55)
    4.4%
    (6.3%)
    What is the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rybakina is ranked WTA: 6. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 10.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 3.
    • Rybakina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Alexandrova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rybakina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rybakina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elena Rybakina 1:2
    11.01.2024 Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova 0:2
    Latest results of Elena Rybakina
    Draw
    Singles - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (4)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (5)Rybakina E. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (6)0 : 2