Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 25
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (388/477) | 76% (249/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (388/477) | 76% (249/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (70/113) | 56% (56/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Vukojevic D. ⚽, Girmai N. (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Vukojevic D. ⚽, Haarala S. (A),
- 44', Sundgren D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Thomasen J. ↓, Silverholt T. ↑,
- 50', Wenderson 🟨,
- 55', Hult N. 🟨,
- 59', Wenderson ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,
- 62', Ostman L. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
- 62', Larsson J. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
- 69', Taranis A. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
- 69', Vukojevic D. ↓, Ohlsson S. ↑,
- 72', Zeneli A. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Frick P. ⚽,
- 82', Sundgren D. ↓, Morgado B. ↑,
- 82', Haarala S. ↓, Barsoum E. ↑,
- 89', Rafferty M. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
- 90+7', Karlsson K. 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
- 90+11', Igonen M. ↓, Jakobsson W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Elfsborg
32% | Draw
28.6% | Degerfors
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elfsborg's form might have worsened.Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Degerfors's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+32%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-21.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Degerfors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Elfsborg - Degerfors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(1.51) |
4.31 ↓
(4.7) |
2.95 ↓
(5.03) |
-19.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Degerfors?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2.
- Elfsborg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Degerfors has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Elfsborg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Elfsborg: Holmen S.
(Knee Injury)
Wikstrom R.
(Red Card)
Zeneli B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Degerfors: Laomadi C.
(Suspended)
Smedberg H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Degerfors: Karlsson K.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:10. (average 2.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Degerfors?
Elfsborg has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Degerfors won against Elfsborg?
Degerfors has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Degerfors were as follows:
19.04.2025
Degerfors
-
Elfsborg
0:1
03.03.2024
Elfsborg
-
Degerfors
2:2
05.11.2023
Elfsborg
-
Degerfors
2:2
22.04.2023
Degerfors
-
Elfsborg
1:2
18.03.2023
Elfsborg
-
Degerfors
1:1
Latest results of Elfsborg
Latest results of Degerfors
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
