Elfsborg vs Degerfors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 25
  • Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.17
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
81% (388/477)76% (249/328)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.68
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
81% (388/477)76% (249/328)
Long passes
41% (22/54)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
62% (70/113)56% (56/100)
Crosses
33% (10/30)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.66
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1113
Tackles
86% (12/14)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
3328
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.681.06
Goals prevented
-1.320.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Vukojevic D. , Girmai N. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Vukojevic D. , Haarala S. (A),
  • 44', Sundgren D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Thomasen J. , Silverholt T. ,
  • 50', Wenderson 🟨,
  • 55', Hult N. 🟨,
  • 59', Wenderson , Hellemaa A. ,
  • 62', Ostman L. , Frick P. ,
  • 62', Larsson J. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 69', Taranis A. , Omorowa R. ,
  • 69', Vukojevic D. , Ohlsson S. ,
  • 72', Zeneli A. , Ihler F. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Frick P. ,
  • 82', Sundgren D. , Morgado B. ,
  • 82', Haarala S. , Barsoum E. ,
  • 89', Rafferty M. , Moro N. ,
  • 90+7', Karlsson K. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,
  • 90+11', Igonen M. , Jakobsson W. ,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
32%
Draw
28.6%
Degerfors
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 19.8% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 19.1% 17.8%

Elfsborg - Degerfors Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.21
(1.51)
4.31
(4.7)
2.95
(5.03)
-19.2%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Degerfors?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2.
    • Elfsborg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Degerfors has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Elfsborg is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Elfsborg: Holmen S. (Knee Injury) Wikstrom R. (Red Card) Zeneli B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Degerfors: Laomadi C. (Suspended) Smedberg H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Degerfors: Karlsson K. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:10. (average 2.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Degerfors were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Degerfors - Elfsborg 0:1
    03.03.2024 Elfsborg - Degerfors 2:2
    05.11.2023 Elfsborg - Degerfors 2:2
    22.04.2023 Degerfors - Elfsborg 1:2
    18.03.2023 Elfsborg - Degerfors 1:1
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    20.09.2025 GAIS - Elfsborg 2:0
    14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2
    30.08.2025 Brommapojkarna - Elfsborg 3:0
    24.08.2025 Elfsborg - Halmstad 1:2
    20.08.2025 Haninge - Elfsborg 0:1
    Latest results of Degerfors
    21.09.2025 Sirius - Degerfors 1:3
    13.09.2025 Degerfors - Mjällby 0:1
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1
    24.08.2025 Degerfors - AIK 0:1
    21.08.2025 Enköping - Degerfors 1:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1NorrkopingOrgryte0 : 0, 0 : 3