Degerfors vs Elfsborg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 3
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayVG+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.010.36
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
13
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
71
Passes
82% (392/478)66% (165/251)
Yellow cards
53
Expected goals (xG)
1.010.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.79
Total shots
86
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
32
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1614
Passes
82% (392/478)66% (165/251)
Long passes
44% (28/63)31% (18/59)
Passes in final third
68% (100/147)45% (48/107)
Crosses
23% (7/30)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.42
Throw ins
2925
Fouls
1417
Tackles
67% (8/12)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4236
Clearances
2342
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.790.24
Goals prevented
-0.210.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Karlsson K. 🟨,
  • 32', Fritzson L. 🟨,
  • 38', Zeneli A. , Beck J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Pikkarainen J. 🟨,
  • 51', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Magnusson J. ,
  • 55', Rafferty M. 🟨,
  • 62', Silverholt T. 🟨,
  • 63', Hult N. , Okeke V. ,
  • 63', Silverholt T. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 65', Karlsson K. , Hussein B. ,
  • 75', Frick P. , Ostman L. ,
  • 76', Vukojevic D. , Yiriyon G. ,
  • 76', Hedlund S. , Mohammed R. ,
  • 85', Beck J. 🟨,
  • 87', Barsoum E. , Leonardsson O. ,
  • 90+5', Sigurpalsson A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Degerfors
36.7%
Draw
29.7%
Elfsborg
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 27.1% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 26.8% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Degerfors's performance.
  • Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Degerfors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Degerfors - Elfsborg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (3.01)
    3.18
    (3.49)
    2.8
    (2.28)
    6.2%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Degerfors - Elfsborg?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 1.
    • In recent matches, Degerfors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Elfsborg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Degerfors: Berisson A. (Inactive) Diaby M. (Injury) Hernandez J. (Injury) Jakobsson W. (Inactive) Ohlsson S. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.5:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Degerfors - Elfsborg were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Elfsborg - Degerfors 1:2
    19.04.2025 Degerfors - Elfsborg 0:1
    03.03.2024 Elfsborg - Degerfors 2:2
    05.11.2023 Elfsborg - Degerfors 2:2
    22.04.2023 Degerfors - Elfsborg 1:2
    Latest results of Degerfors
    12.04.2026 Halmstad - Degerfors 0:3
    04.04.2026 Degerfors - Sirius 0:3
    27.03.2026 Degerfors - Norrköping 3:1
    08.03.2026 IFK Göteborg - Degerfors 3:1
    28.02.2026 Degerfors - Östersund 1:1
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    11.04.2026 Västerås SK - Elfsborg 2:2
    06.04.2026 Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg 2:0
    26.03.2026 Elfsborg - Öster 3:1
    08.03.2026 Elfsborg - Sirius 1:2
    28.02.2026 Sundsvall - Elfsborg 0:1
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sirius541014:5913
    2Elfsborg53118:5310
    3Malmo FF53118:5310
    4Hacken523011:839
    5Hammarby522113:588
    6Vasteras SK52219:10-18
    7Degerfors52126:607
    8Djurgarden52126:607
    9AIK52126:607
    10Mjallby52125:507
    11Brommapojkarna51227:10-35
    12Orgryte51226:12-65
    13Kalmar51135:7-24
    14Goteborg50324:8-43
    15GAIS50234:8-42
    16Halmstad50233:9-62

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