Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 24
- Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (344/419) | 84% (388/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (344/419) | 84% (388/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/118) | 70% (94/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Frej R. ⚽, Agren O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Zeneli A. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
- 59', Ostman L. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
- 60', Kurochkin A. ↓, Niklasson R. ↑,
- 60', Fagerjord J. ↓, Gustafsson F. ↑,
- 62', Zeneli B. 🟨,
- 68', Magnusson J. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
- 73', Milovanovic W. 🟨,
- 73', Buhari I. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 74', Zeneli B. ↓, Thomasen J. ↑,
- 81', Diabate I. ↓, Hedlund L. ↑,
- 87', Wikstrom R. 🟥,
- 90', Frick P. 🟨,
- 90+4', Boudri A. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Niklasson R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
GAIS
42.7% | Draw
28.1% | Elfsborg
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GAIS's form might have worsened.Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GAIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
GAIS - Elfsborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.91) |
3.39 ↓
(3.92) |
3.3 ↓
(3.65) |
4.3%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for GAIS - Elfsborg?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. GAIS will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 2.
- Recent performances by GAIS have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Elfsborg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, GAIS is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, GAIS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Elfsborg?
GAIS has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against GAIS?
Elfsborg has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GAIS - Elfsborg were as follows:
05.05.2025
Elfsborg
-
GAIS
2:0
20.03.2025
Elfsborg
-
GAIS
1:2
11.08.2024
Elfsborg
-
GAIS
2:1
19.05.2024
GAIS
-
Elfsborg
2:1
18.02.2024
Elfsborg
-
GAIS
2:0
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 3 | AIK | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 32:24 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Goteborg | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 7 | GAIS | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 36:24 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 37:38 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Hacken | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 13 | Sirius | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 29:52 | -23 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
