Result
2:1
07/04/2025 at 13:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 2
- Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Discovery+ |
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (443/507) | 76% (218/287) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (443/507) | 76% (218/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (151/191) | 54% (38/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Botheim E. 🟨,
- 2', Hedlund S. (Pen),
- 3', Bolin H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 0, Christiansen A. ⚽,
- 62', Magnusson J. ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,
- 62', Rapp G. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
- 66', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
- 66', Bolin H. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Hedlund S. ⚽,
- 76', Jansson P. 🟨,
- 77', Silverholt T. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Sigurdsson A. ⚽, Ali T. (A),
- 80', Christiansen A. ↓, Kiese Thelin I. ↑,
- 82', Olsson S. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
- 82', Hult N. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
- 87', Botheim E. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
- 89', Hedlund S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Holmen S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Malmö
55.7% | Draw
24.6% | Elfsborg
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Malmö - Elfsborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.62) |
3.82 ↓
(4.2) |
4.77 ↓
(5.04) |
6.5%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Malmö - Elfsborg?
Users Predictions:
Malmö will win
(36 of 36 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Malmö won 3.
- Malmö in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Elfsborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Malmö is a favorite.
- There will not play in Malmö: Akesson W.
(Injury)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Holmquist Vecchia S.
(Back Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Lewicki O.
(Calf Injury)
Tinnerholm A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Malmö: Christiansen A.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Malmö to win the game is with odds 1.71.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Malmö won 13 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36:22 (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22:5 (average 2.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Elfsborg?
Malmö has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Malmö?
Elfsborg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Elfsborg were as follows:
10.03.2025
Malmö
-
Elfsborg
1:0
28.05.2024
Malmö
-
Elfsborg
2:1
05.05.2024
Elfsborg
-
Malmö
3:1
12.11.2023
Malmö
-
Elfsborg
1:0
28.05.2023
Elfsborg
-
Malmö
3:0
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:14 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | AIK | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 32 |
| 6 | GAIS | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21:18 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Goteborg | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Hacken | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25:31 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14:34 | -20 | 17 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 14 |
| 14 | Sirius | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15:31 | -16 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
