Result
2:2
14/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 23
- Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (355/426) | 88% (477/540) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (355/426) | 88% (477/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (35/61) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (84/132) | 69% (59/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Gudjohnsen D. T. (Pen),
- 30', Sigurdsson A. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 2, Gudjohnsen D. T. ⚽, Bolin H. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Hedlund S. 🟨,
- 54', Holmen S. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
- 66', Ostman L. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
- 66', Zeneli A. ↓, Silverholt T. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Zeneli B. ⚽, Rapp G. (A),
- 77', 2 - 2, Wikstrom R. ⚽,
- 78', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 78', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
- 84', Johnsen L. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
- 88', Wikstrom R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zeneli B. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Elfsborg
23.8% | Draw
25.9% | Malmö
50.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-2%)
Elfsborg - Malmö Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.12 ↑
(3.48) |
3.76 ↑
(3.53) |
1.93 ↓
(2.04) |
2.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Malmö?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Malmö will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.
- Elfsborg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Malmö is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Elfsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Malmö will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Elfsborg: Hult N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Malmö: Jansson P.
(Muscle Injury)
Rosler C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Malmö?
Elfsborg has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Elfsborg?
Malmö has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Malmö were as follows:
07.04.2025
Malmö
-
Elfsborg
2:1
10.03.2025
Malmö
-
Elfsborg
1:0
28.05.2024
Malmö
-
Elfsborg
2:1
05.05.2024
Elfsborg
-
Malmö
3:1
12.11.2023
Malmö
-
Elfsborg
1:0
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 49:17 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | GAIS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 48 |
| 4 | Djurgarden | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | AIK | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Halmstad | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 22:47 | -25 | 31 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Oster | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27:49 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 35:61 | -26 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan
