Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 20
- Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (285/364) | 82% (326/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (285/364) | 82% (326/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (31/72) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (72/109) | 67% (90/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 29% (10/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.14 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Karlsson D.M. ⚽,
- 27', Lushaku I. 🟨,
- 27', Wenderson 🟨,
- 32', Yegbe T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Wikstrom R. 🟨,
- 57', Ihler F. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
- 57', Holmen S. ↓, Aronsson F. ↑,
- 62', Ostman L. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Sigurpalsson A. ⚽,
- 71', Lushaku I. ↓, Fransson A. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Traustason A. (Pen),
- 81', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,
- 81', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
- 88', Hedlund S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sigurgeirsson I. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Norrköping
30.7% | Draw
26% | Elfsborg
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Norrköping - Elfsborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↓
(3.45) |
3.73 ↓
(4.2) |
2.27 ↑
(1.8) |
2.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Norrköping - Elfsborg?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 1.
- Norrköping is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Elfsborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Elfsborg might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S.
(Knee Injury)
Mitov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Norrköping: Prica T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Norrköping won against Elfsborg?
Norrköping has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Norrköping?
Elfsborg has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norrköping - Elfsborg were as follows:
12.04.2025
Elfsborg
-
Norrköping
2:0
19.09.2024
Elfsborg
-
Norrköping
2:2
25.04.2024
Norrköping
-
Elfsborg
4:2
28.08.2023
Elfsborg
-
Norrköping
3:2
22.05.2023
Norrköping
-
Elfsborg
1:2
Latest results of Norrköping
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 42:16 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | AIK | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | GAIS | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 38 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 38 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Hacken | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:43 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Sirius | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
| 14 | Oster | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
