Elfsborg vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1, SuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Moja TV
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 2
chinaChinaQQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoESPN 4
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 6
portugalPortugalDAZN 6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 23, Blue Sport 23
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.12
Ball Possession
26%74%
Goal Attempts
821
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
19
Blocked Shots
28
Free Kicks
614
Corner Kicks
35
Offsides
22
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
125
Yellow Cards
31
Total Passes
302897
Completed Passes
222404
Crosses Completed
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', Qasem A. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Baidoo M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Hult N. 🟨,
  • 60', Zeneli A. 🟨,
  • 62', Zeneli A. , Abdullai J. ,
  • 65', Abdulhamid S. , El Shaarawy S. ,
  • 65', Soule M. , Dybala P. ,
  • 65', Shomurodov E. , Dovbyk A. ,
  • 72', Baldanzi T. , Pellegrini Lo. ,
  • 85', Pisilli N. , Cristante B. ,
  • 86', Baidoo M. , Frick P. ,
  • 90+5', Dybala P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
21.4%
Draw
25.6%
Roma
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 22.7% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 23.2% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elfsborg - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (4.8)
    3.75
    (3.95)
    1.81
    (1.53)
    4.1%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 7 - 14%). Roma will win (votes: 36 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 59.6%84.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Elfsborg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Roma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Roma is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Roma: Le Fee E. (Muscle Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Dybala P. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    29.09.2024 Kalmar - Elfsborg 1:3
    25.09.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Elfsborg 3:2
    22.09.2024 Elfsborg - Hammarby 0:0
    19.09.2024 Elfsborg - Norrköping 2:2
    15.09.2024 Halmstad - Elfsborg 0:1
    Latest results of Roma
    29.09.2024 Roma - Venezia 2:1
    26.09.2024 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    22.09.2024 Roma - Udinese 3:0
    15.09.2024 Genoa - Roma 1:1
    01.09.2024 Juventus - Roma 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2