Elias Ymer vs Aslan Karatsev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Francavilla Challenger Men Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev
Result
2:0
08/05/2025 at 09:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
65%54%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (28/35)66% (23/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (8/19)27% (8/30)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
34% (12/35)20% (7/35)
2nd Return Points Won
73% (22/30)58% (11/19)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
67% (36/54)48% (31/65)
Return Points Won
52% (34/65)33% (18/54)
Total Points Won
59% (70/119)41% (49/119)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)44% (4/9)
Return Games Won
56% (5/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
72% (13/18)28% (5/18)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
41.8%
Aslan Karatsev
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.01)

    1.59
    (1.71)
    7.8%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karatsev (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ymer is ranked ATP: 263. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 191.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Karatsev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ymer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Latest results of Aslan Karatsev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Preda L.2 : 0
    2Stricker D. (Alt)Jubb P.2 : 0
    3Coppejans K. (Alt)Collarini A. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Cachin P. (Q)Trungelliti M. (5)0 : 2
    5Skatov T. (3)Engel J. (Q)2 : 1
    6Paire B. (WC)Fonio G. (Q)2 : 1
    7Denolly C. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (WC)0 : 2
    8Albot R.Buse I. (8)2 : 0
    9Mena F. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Chidekh C. (Alt)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    11Barrere G.Ymer E. (Alt)1 : 2
    12Travaglia S. (Q)Karatsev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Lajal M. (7)Dalla Valle E. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Berrettini J. (Q)Butvilas E.2 : 0
    15Carboni L. (WC)Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)1 : 2
    16Erhard M. (Alt)Ajdukovic D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Stricker D.1 : 2
    2Coppejans K.Trungelliti M. (5)2 : 0
    3Skatov T. (3)Paire B.0 : 2
    4Maestrelli F.Albot R.2 : 1
    5Vatutin A.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Ymer E.Karatsev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Lajal M. (7)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    8Sanchez Jover C.Erhard M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D.Coppejans K.2 : 0
    2Paire B.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Ymer E.2 : 1
    4Lajal M. (7)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Maestrelli F.1 : 1
    2Vacherot V.Lajal M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Maestrelli F.Vacherot V.2 : 0