Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Stockholm Elias Ymer - Denis Shapovalov
Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Fight

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
60%66%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (44/64)67% (40/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
37% (16/43)58% (18/31)
Break Points Saved
57% (8/14)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
33% (20/60)34% (22/64)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (13/31)63% (27/43)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)43% (6/14)
Winners
1524
Unforced Errors
2315
Net Points Won
100% (17/0)76% (22/29)
Service Points Won
54% (58/107)64% (58/91)
Return Points Won
36% (33/91)46% (49/107)
Total Points Won
46% (91/198)54% (107/198)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
23.4%
Denis Shapovalov
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 77.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Elias Ymer - Denis Shapovalov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.16
    (4.12)

    1.23
    (1.21)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Denis Shapovalov?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ymer (votes: 3 - 60%). Shapovalov (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ymer is ranked ATP: 243. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ymer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Shapovalov is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    14.10.2025 Elias Ymer - Mikael Ymer 2:0
    29.09.2025 Elias Ymer - Elmer Moller Ymer E. retired
    23.09.2025 Guy Den Ouden - Elias Ymer 2:0
    15.09.2025 Elias Ymer - Sandro Kopp 0:2
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Bye
    2De Jong J.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    3Lajal M. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    4Kecmanovic M.Muller A. (6)2 : 0
    5Humbert U. (4)Bye
    6Berrettini M.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fery A. (Q)Sonego L.0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Griekspoor T. (5)Fearnley J.1 : 2
    10Ymer E. (WC)Ymer M. (WC)2 : 0
    11Borg L. (WC)Ofner S. (PR)2 : 0
    12ByeShapovalov D. (3)
    13Popyrin A. (7)Korda S.1 : 2
    14Majchrzak K.Misolic F. (Q)2 : 0
    15Budkov Kjaer N. (NG)Cilic M.0 : 2
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Humbert U. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Sonego L.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    5Fearnley J.Ymer E.0 : 2
    6Borg L.Shapovalov D. (3)1 : 2
    7Korda S.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    8Cilic M.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Humbert U. (4)Sonego L.2 : 1
    3Ymer E.Shapovalov D. (3)1 : 2
    4Korda S.Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rune H. (RET.) (1)Humbert U. (4)1 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (3)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Humbert U. (4)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2