Francesco Passaro vs Elias Ymer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Sassuolo Challenger Men Francesco Passaro - Elias Ymer
Result
2:1
19/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
65%62%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (40/70)65% (42/65)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (20/37)35% (14/40)
Break Points Saved
71% (15/21)40% (4/10)
1st Return Points Won
35% (23/65)43% (30/70)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (26/40)46% (17/37)
Break Points Converted
60% (6/10)29% (6/21)
Winners
3125
Unforced Errors
5142
Net Points Won
64% (7/11)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
56% (60/107)53% (56/105)
Return Points Won
47% (49/105)44% (47/107)
Total Points Won
51% (109/212)49% (103/212)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)60% (9/15)
Return Games Won
40% (6/15)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Francesco Passaro
66.6%
Elias Ymer
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Passaro's performance.
  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francesco Passaro - Elias Ymer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.62)

    2.79
    (2.23)
    4.8%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Francesco Passaro - Elias Ymer?
  • Users Predictions: Francesco Passaro will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Passaro is ranked ATP: 143. Ymer is ranked ATP: 255.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Passaro could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Passaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Passaro - Elias Ymer were as follows:
    25.03.2025 Francesco Passaro - Elias Ymer 1:2
    23.05.2023 Elias Ymer - Francesco Passaro 2:0
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Kovalik J.2 : 0
    2Gueymard Wayenburg S.Bondioli F. (WC)1 : 2
    3Blancaneaux G.van Assche L.0 : 2
    4Sakamoto R. (NG)Guillen Meza A. (8)2 : 1
    5Passaro F. (4)Prihodko O. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fonio G. (Q)Roca Batalla O. (LL)0 : 2
    7Arnaboldi F.Brancaccio R. (LL)0 : 2
    8Ymer E. (Q)Wawrinka S. (6)2 : 1
    9Daniel T. (5)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    10Geerts M.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    11Rodriguez Taverna S.Ramos A.1 : 2
    12Nijboer R. (Q)Lajovic D. (3)0 : 2
    13Neumayer L. (7)Travaglia S. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Rincon D.Cecchinato M. (Q)2 : 1
    15Zeppieri G. (WC)Napolitano S. (Q)2 : 0
    16Pacheco Mendez R.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 0
    2van Assche L.Sakamoto R.2 : 0
    3Passaro F. (4)Roca Batalla O.2 : 0
    4Brancaccio R.Ymer E.1 : 2
    5Moro Canas A.Maestrelli F.0 : 2
    6Ramos A.Lajovic D. (3)0 : 2
    7Neumayer L. (7)Rincon D.1 : 2
    8Zeppieri G.Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)van Assche L.2 : 1
    2Passaro F. (4)Ymer E.2 : 1
    3Maestrelli F.Lajovic D. (3)0 : 2
    4Rincon D.Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Passaro F. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    2Lajovic D. (3)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0

    Final
    1Taberner C. (1)Lajovic D. (3)2 : 0