Elias Ymer vs Jan Choinski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Oeiras 4 Challenger Men Elias Ymer - Jan Choinski
Result
2:1
16/05/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4 (Portugal), clay - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Duarte Pereira J. (Por)

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
62%70%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (37/60)64% (32/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (17/37)52% (11/21)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
36% (18/50)38% (23/60)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (10/21)54% (20/37)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)50% (4/8)
Max Points In Row
58
Service Points Won
56% (54/97)61% (43/71)
Return Points Won
39% (28/71)44% (43/97)
Total Points Won
49% (82/168)51% (86/168)
Max Games In Row
34
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)67% (8/12)
Return Games Won
33% (4/12)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
45.9%
Jan Choinski
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elias Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan Choinski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elias Ymer - Jan Choinski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.86)

    1.75
    (1.85)
    6.3%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Jan Choinski?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Ymer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Michelsen A. (1)Rocha H. (WC)2 : 1
    2Novak D. (Alt)Added D. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    3Heide G.Popko D. (Q)2 : 0
    4Faria J. (WC)Mochizuki S. (8)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (4)Ficovich J. P. (Q)2 : 0
    6Elias G. (WC)De Loore J.1 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M. (RET.)Svrcina D.1 : 1
    8Andreev A. (Q)Burruchaga R. A. (6)0 : 2
    9Kypson P. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    10Onclin G. (SE)Zhukayev B.0 : 2
    11Neumayer L. (Q)Yevseyev D.1 : 2
    12Berrettini J. (SE)Nava E. (3)1 : 2
    13Harris L. (5)Ferreira Silva F. (Q)2 : 0
    14Ymer E.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Boyer T.Blanch Dar.2 : 1
    16Choinski J.Svajda Z. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Michelsen A. (1)Novak D.0 : 2
    2Heide G.Faria J.0 : 2
    3Kopriva V. (4)De Loore J.1 : 2
    4Svrcina D.Burruchaga R. A. (6)0 : 2
    5Kypson P. (7)Zhukayev B.0 : 2
    6Yevseyev D.Nava E. (3)2 : 0
    7Harris L. (5)Ymer E.0 : 2
    8Boyer T.Choinski J.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Novak D.Faria J.1 : 2
    2De Loore J. (RET.)Burruchaga R. A. (6)0 : 1
    3Zhukayev B.Yevseyev D.1 : 2
    4Ymer E.Choinski J.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Faria J.Burruchaga R. A. (6)2 : 1
    2Yevseyev D.Ymer E.0 : 2

    Final
    1Faria J.Ymer E.2 : 1