Elias Ymer vs Marko Topo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hamburg Elias Ymer - Marko Topo
Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
70%54%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (54/81)80% (48/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (19/35)44% (23/52)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
27% (16/60)35% (28/81)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (29/52)46% (16/35)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)14% (1/7)
Winners
2540
Unforced Errors
3157
Net Points Won
58% (11/19)50% (8/16)
Service Points Won
63% (73/116)60% (67/112)
Return Points Won
40% (45/112)37% (43/116)
Total Points Won
52% (118/228)48% (110/228)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
56.4%
Marko Topo
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elias Ymer that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marko Topo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elias Ymer - Marko Topo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.73)

    2.15
    (2.1)
    6.8%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Marko Topo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Topo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ymer is ranked ATP: 263. Topo is ranked ATP: 402.
    • Ymer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Topo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ymer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Latest results of Marko Topo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kovacevic A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ymer E. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.2 : 0
    4Altmaier D.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    5Rublev A. (3)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    6Struff J-L. (WC)Engel J. (WC)0 : 2
    7Dedura D. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    8Collignon R. (RET.) (Q)Nakashima B. (7)0 : 0
    9Baez S. (8)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    10Etcheverry T. M.Comesana F.2 : 0
    11Gojo B. (Q)Lehecka J.1 : 2
    12Martinez P.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    13Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Sachko V. (LL)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Giron M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    16Bu Y.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Muller A.1 : 2
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (3)Engel J.2 : 0
    4Darderi L.Nakashima B. (7)2 : 1
    5Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    6Lehecka J.Cerundolo F. (4)2 : 0
    7Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Muller A.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)1 : 2
    2Rublev A. (3)Darderi L.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    4Cobolli F.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Rublev A. (3)0 : 2
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cobolli F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (3)Cobolli F.0 : 2