Result
2:1
30/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 82% (41/50) | 65% (31/48) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 68% (21/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 24% (12/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 54% (20/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (55/84) | 66% (52/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (27/79) | 35% (29/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (82/163) | 50% (81/163) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 14% (2/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 46% (13/28) |
Chances of winning
Elias Ymer
53.2% | Mikhail Kukushkin
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Elias Ymer - Mikhail Kukushkin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.85) |
|
1.99 ↑
(1.83) |
7.3%
(8.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Mikhail Kukushkin?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kukushkin: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mikhail Kukushkin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ymer is ranked ATP: 232. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 195.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Kukushkin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ymer won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Elias Ymer won against Mikhail Kukushkin?
Elias Ymer has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mikhail Kukushkin won against Elias Ymer?
Mikhail Kukushkin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elias Ymer - Mikhail Kukushkin were as follows:
Latest results of Elias Ymer
Latest results of Mikhail Kukushkin
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Faria J. (1) | Ymer E. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Karatsev A. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (SE) | Soto M. | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Araujo P. (WC) | Grenier H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Huesler M. (3) | Ferreira Silva F. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Sultanov K. | Echargui M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Yevseyev D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Soriano Barrera A. (Q) | van Assche L. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Maestrelli F. (6) | Torres T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Loffhagen G. | Zeppieri G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | McKennon M. (Q) | Pereira T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Escoffier A. | Merida Aguilar D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Rocha H. (5) | Searle H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Albot R. (Alt) | Coulibaly E. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cui J. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Elias G. (WC) | Landaluce M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ymer E. | Kukushkin M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Soto M. | Grenier H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ferreira Silva F. | Echargui M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Butvilas E. | van Assche L. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Maestrelli F. (6) | Loffhagen G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Pereira T. | Escoffier A. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rocha H. (5) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moro Canas A. | Landaluce M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ymer E. | Grenier H. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Echargui M. | Butvilas E. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Maestrelli F. (6) | Escoffier A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rocha H. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Grenier H. (7) | Echargui M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Maestrelli F. (6) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Echargui M. | Maestrelli F. (6) | 2 : 0 |
