Elias Ymer vs Nicolas Mejia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
50%58%
1st serve points won
75% (21/28)69% (22/32)
2nd serve points won
57% (16/28)43% (10/23)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)33% (2/6)
1st return points won
41% (13/32)25% (7/28)
2nd return points won
57% (13/23)43% (12/28)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)50% (2/4)
Winners
1314
Unforced errors
1930
Net points won
29% (2/7)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
66% (37/56)58% (32/55)
Return Points Won
42% (23/55)34% (19/56)
Total Points Won
54% (60/111)46% (51/111)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
53.4%
Nicolas Mejia
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Elias Ymer - Nicolas Mejia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.67)

    2.02
    (2.1)
    6.2%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Nicolas Mejia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Mejia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elias Ymer will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ymer is ranked ATP: 188. Mejia is ranked ATP: 179.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    21.02.2026 Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia Tomic B. retired
    07.02.2026 Taha Baadi - Nicolas Mejia 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Moutet C.
    2Schoolkate T.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    3Atmane T.Dimitrov G.
    4Jodar R. (WC)Norrie C. (7)
    5Ruud C. (3)Wu Y. (Q)
    6Mannarino A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)
    7Duckworth J.Svrcina D.
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)Cobolli F. (5)
    9Tiafoe F. (8)Borges N.
    10Walton A.Kovacevic A.
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Bellucci M.
    12Altmaier D.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)0 : 2
    13Vacherot V. (6)Wong C. (LL)
    14Dzumhur D.Monfils G. (WC)
    15Nakashima B.Ymer E. (Q)
    16Kypson P. (Q)De Minaur A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1Kecmanovic M.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Davidovich Fokina A. (4)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2