Elias Ymer vs Nicolas Mejia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
50%58%
1st serve points won
75% (21/28)69% (22/32)
2nd serve points won
57% (16/28)43% (10/23)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)33% (2/6)
1st return points won
41% (13/32)25% (7/28)
2nd return points won
57% (13/23)43% (12/28)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)50% (2/4)
Winners
1314
Unforced errors
1930
Net points won
29% (2/7)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
66% (37/56)58% (32/55)
Return Points Won
42% (23/55)34% (19/56)
Total Points Won
54% (60/111)46% (51/111)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
53.4%
Nicolas Mejia
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Elias Ymer - Nicolas Mejia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.67)

    2.02
    (2.1)
    6.2%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Nicolas Mejia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Mejia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elias Ymer will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ymer is ranked ATP: 188. Mejia is ranked ATP: 179.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    21.02.2026 Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia Tomic B. retired
    07.02.2026 Taha Baadi - Nicolas Mejia 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Moutet C.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    3Atmane T.Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    4Jodar R. (WC)Norrie C. (7)2 : 0
    5Ruud C. (3)Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Svrcina D.0 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (8)Borges N.2 : 0
    10Walton A.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    12Altmaier D.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)0 : 2
    13Vacherot V. (6)Wong C. (LL)2 : 1
    14Dzumhur D.Monfils G. (WC)0 : 2
    15Nakashima B.Ymer E. (Q)2 : 0
    16Kypson P. (Q)De Minaur A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    2Atmane T.Jodar R.2 : 1
    3Wu Y.Shimabukuro S.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    5Tiafoe F. (8)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    6Bellucci M.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)2 : 0
    7Vacherot V. (6)Monfils G.2 : 0
    8Nakashima B.Kypson P.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M.Atmane T.2 : 0
    2Wu Y.Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    3Tiafoe F. (8)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    4Vacherot V. (6)Nakashima B.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kecmanovic M.Cobolli F. (5)1 : 2
    2Tiafoe F. (8)Nakashima B.2 : 1

    Final
    1Cobolli F. (5)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0