Elias Ymer vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Naples Challenger Men Elias Ymer - Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Result
2:1
24/03/2025 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
52%63%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (39/54)65% (41/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (25/49)49% (18/37)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
35% (22/63)28% (15/54)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (19/37)49% (24/49)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
62% (64/103)59% (60/102)
Return Points Won
41% (42/102)38% (39/103)
Total Points Won
52% (106/205)48% (99/205)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
60.1%
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Elias Ymer - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.55)

    2.32
    (2.28)
    7.8%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ymer is ranked ATP: 261. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 308.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Ovcharenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ymer will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Agamenone F. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ajdukovic D.Nagal S.0 : 2
    3Wawrinka S.Gojo B. (Q)2 : 0
    4Mayot H.Coric B. (7)0 : 2
    5Passaro F. (3)Ymer E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Maestrelli F. (WC)Dellien Velasco M. A.0 : 2
    7Fonio G. (Q)Svrcina D.1 : 2
    8Barrere G.Tseng C. H. (8)0 : 2
    9Fognini F. (5)Onclin G.1 : 2
    10Pellegrino A. (Q)Evans D.2 : 1
    11Barton H. (Q)Herbert P.0 : 2
    12Rehberg M. H. (Alt)Seyboth Wild T. (4)2 : 1
    13Boyer T. (6)Arnaboldi F.1 : 2
    14Zeppieri G. (WC)Jianu F. C. (Alt)1 : 2
    15Kovalik J.Hemery C.0 : 2
    16Kopriva V.Collignon R. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Nagal S.2 : 0
    2Wawrinka S.Coric B. (7)2 : 0
    3Ymer E.Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    4Svrcina D.Tseng C. H. (8)2 : 0
    5Onclin G.Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    6Herbert P.Rehberg M. H.2 : 0
    7Arnaboldi F.Jianu F. C.2 : 1
    8Hemery C.Kopriva V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    2Dellien Velasco M. A.Svrcina D.0 : 2
    3Pellegrino A.Herbert P.2 : 1
    4Arnaboldi F.Kopriva V.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Svrcina D.2 : 1
    2Pellegrino A.Kopriva V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (1)Kopriva V.1 : 2