Elias Ymer vs Sumit Nagal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal
Result
0:2
16/07/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
portugalPortugalSport TV3

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
40
1st Serve Percentage
56%68%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (28/39)70% (31/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (14/31)62% (13/21)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)100% (4/4)
1st Return Points Won
32% (14/44)31% (12/39)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (8/21)55% (17/31)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)30% (3/10)
Winners
2115
Unforced Errors
2410
Net Points Won
71% (12/17)100% (5/5)
Max Points In Row
47
Service Points Won
59% (41/70)68% (44/65)
Return Points Won
32% (21/65)41% (29/70)
Total Points Won
46% (62/135)54% (73/135)
Max Games In Row
13
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Elias Ymer
39.1%
Sumit Nagal
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.
  • Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elias Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (1.9)

    1.57
    (1.9)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Nagal will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 35.9%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Nagal will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ymer won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal were as follows:
    09.04.2023 Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal 2:0
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Latest results of Sumit Nagal
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1